In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
Boom/Bust NBA Fantasy Projections | March 21
NBA DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates
James Harden vs. Wizards: $10,900/$11,300
31.7% DraftKings Boom/34.0% FanDuel Boom
Facing off against former teammate Russell Westbrook, expect Harden to bring his A-game. It will be the first time sharing a court with Westbrook since they were teammates in Houston. Harden has hit value at this price in five of his past seven games. He also rarely only hits value; when Harden has a great game, he usually blows past it. With the amount of missed shots Washington is prone to, Harden very clearly has triple-double potential today.
Nikola Jokic vs. Pelicans: $10,500/$11,000
32.2% DraftKings Boom/33.9% FanDuel Boom
This is the first time Jokic is facing off against the Pelicans this season. However, we can look at his stats against Steven Adams last season when he was with Oklahoma City. Jokic had a good performance in all three games and crushed value in two of them. Adams is a solid anchor to a defense, but Jokic has the ability to play on the perimeter where Adams will either refuse or struggle to follow him out there. The same is true again today, which is why we see such a high boom probability for Jokic today.
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Moses Brown vs. Rockets: $4,800/$4,300
66.6% DraftKings Boom/84.2% FanDuel Boom
Al Horford is out again today, and Darius Bazley continues to be out. This makes Brown obnoxiously underpriced. He faces a weak Houston team today. The last time Brown started he played 30 minutes, had a 26% usage rate and finished with a 20-point, 16-rebound double-double. The Thunder will go to him often again today, making him the best value on the slate.
NBA DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
Norman Powell vs. Cavaliers: $7,100/$7,800
69.9% DraftKings Bust/71.7% FanDuel Bust
The Raptors continue to get healthier, and Powell’s last performance is more of what we can expect going forward. He had a good game, finishing with 17 points and 5 rebounds. However, his price continues to be inflated from when Toronto was without three of their starters. With all three back, Powell doesn’t have the usage rate to justify this price point.
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