In NBA DFS it is not as simple as rostering who the best play is. It’s imperative to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, it provides odds to help navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting, according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | March 30
NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom CandidatesÂ
Paul George vs. Magic: $8,600 DraftKings/$8,700 FanDuel
26.9% DraftKings Boom/33.9% FanDuel Boom
There are a couple of things of note here. First off, George sat out last night’s game with a foot injury and is considered questionable to play. Second, George currently rates extremely well in the Boom vs. Bust tool, and only Bradley Beal projects better. Looking at the Clippers’ resting patterns, George is more likely to play today than sit and is more likely to play tonight than Kawhi Leonard, even though Leonard isn’t listed on the injury report. This is the tail end of a back-to-back for the Clippers, and they have a very winnable game against the Magic. The expectation is that George wasn’t actually hurt last night and was held out so that he could carry the offense tonight while Leonard rests.
Alex Len vs. Hornets: $3,800 DraftKings/$3,700 FanDuel
9.8% DraftKings Boom/21% FanDuel Boom
Value is extremely difficult to come by tonight. Unless Leonard is for sure sitting, or Beal gets ruled out, finding cheap players to roster is nearly impossible. This is almost forcing hands to roster any cheap player that is in line to get minutes. There are enough high-end options on this slate with massive ceilings, so it’s almost a must to take a chance on risky punts. This is where Len comes in. He is starting for the Wizards and his minutes briefly looked in jeopardy. Daniel Gafford played extremely well yesterday until he injured his ankle. Gafford will likely miss an extended period of time, so Len is still looking at over 20 minutes of playing time.
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NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
John Collins vs. Suns: $7,000 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel
65.9% DraftKings Bust/75% FanDuel Bust
Collins is much too expensive for a difficult matchup against the Suns. He put up some big games when Clint Capela was out, but Collins rarely provides much of a ceiling when he is sharing the court with Capela. This is an ongoing issue, and it’s surprising that the Hawks didn’t trade Collins before the deadline. It seems he is at odds with the team going back to contract negotiations in the offseason. The other issue here is that Collins is picking up double-digit ownership despite a FanDuel price near its highest point of the season.
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