NBA Player Props: Trust Anthony Davis in Game 1 (May 16)

The NBA Western Conference Finals will finally get underway on Tuesday night. The Los Angeles Lakers overcame the odds to get here as a play-in team, and they’ll line up against the top-seeded Denver Nuggets. With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Anthony Davis player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Tuesday’s playoff action.

Editor’s Note: This article was originally published at 3:05 pm CT on 5/16/2023

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | May 16 Playoff Games

Anthony Davis Prop O/U 22.5 Points

The Lakers will likely need some big-time production from Anthony Davis if they want to keep things close with the Nuggets tonight. Davis averaged 25.9 points per game in the regular season but is averaging only 21.2 points per game in the postseason.

NBA Bet Pro expects Davis to bounce back in the scoring column. The tool projects him for 24.1 points tonight, much more in line with his regular-season averages. Davis scored 23 points at home against Denver back in October but only 22 points against them on the road.

Let’s attack this NBA player prop at BetMGM. With the implied odds there set to only 53.5%, below the expected win rate of 56%, you’re getting a considerable chunk of value relative. If you’re yet to sign up at BetMGM, you can get first-bet insurance worth up to $1,000!

Best NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis Over 22.5 Points -115 at BetMGM

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Bruce Brown Prop O/U 17.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)

One other play for Bruce Brown stands out with more +EV, but only subscribers to NBA Bet Pro will get access to that pick. But there’s still plenty of value on Brown to go over 17.5 PRA — he is projected for 18.5 PRA tonight and has averaged 18.1 PRA per game in the postseason.

The over has an expected win rate of 53%, per NBA Bet Pro. But the oddsmakers at BetRivers have priced the under at only -108, or 51.9%, giving over backers a solid chunk of value. Several other sharp props are on tonight’s board, and to view them, simply sign up for NBA Bet Pro — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!

Best NBA Player Prop: Bruce Brown Over 17.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists -108 at FanDuel

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.