DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Who to Target With Giannis Doubtful? (April 19)

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Top 5 DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today

5. Brook Lopez, Milwaukee Bucks

Lopez is a center priced at $6,200, with a projected score of 37, a goal of 34 and optimal lineup rate of 33%. With Giannis Antetokounmpo doubtful for the game, Lopez is expected to get more touches and play a significant role. Lopez should not get played off the court and is projected to play for 34 minutes, with 1.1 fantasy points per minute and a usage rate of 21%. In addition, Lopez is expected to get a bit of a bump in terms of touches, projecting for 18 points, eight rebounds and three stocks. This includes 2.5 blocks, making him an excellent pick for DFS despite being in a pace down spot against Miami.

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4. Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat

Projected for 45 points and a goal of 40, Adebayo is in the optimal lineup 33% of the time. With no Tyler Herro around, Adebayo could play upwards of 40 minutes and should get a bump in production. His numbers are impressive, with 1.19 fantasy points per minute, 26% usage, 22 points and 12 rebounds. With a much better matchup against Milwaukee and the absence of Giannis on the opposite side, Adebayo is in a great spot to have a massive double-double, 3.5 assists and two stocks.

3. Gabe Vincent, Miami Heat

As a point guard and shooting guard, Vincent provides great flexibility for rosters. His salary is low at $4,200, and he is a value pick that is projected for 24 fantasy points and is in the optimal lineup 34% of the time. Although his per-minute rate is only 0.7, Vincent will benefit from an uptick in playing time without Herro, especially since Kyle Lowry is also questionable. Vincent projects for 12 points, 3.5 rebounds, three assists and a steal, but the extra minutes he will see make him a good option.

2. Jrue Holiday, Milwaukee Bucks

Holiday is projected for 50.5 points, above the goal of 44, and he is in the optimal lineup 36% of the time. Despite his high potential score, Holiday’s price tag is surprisingly low. He is projected to play 38 minutes, with 1.3 fantasy points per minute, a usage rate of 30%, 25 points, 8.5 assists, six rebounds, and a stock and a half. Even with Giannis doubtful for the game, Holiday’s price tag remains lower than expected, making him an excellent pick for DFS players.

1. Bobby Portis, Milwaukee Bucks

Portis is projected for 36 points, above the goal of 31.5, and he is in the optimal lineup 39% of the time. Portis has been performing well throughout the season, and with a projected playtime of 30 minutes, he is expected to continue his performance in this game. Even if he only plays for 26 minutes, Portis is still a great DFS pick, projecting for 1.2 per minute, a usage rate of 22%, 16 points, 12 rebounds and an assist. Although it is unclear whether Portis will start or not, he is expected to play a lot, and if Giannis is not on the court, Portis is the go-to option here.

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Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].