NBA DFS Value & Advice: Joel Embiid Surprisingly Contrarian (May 5)

Tonight NBA DFS players have two more playoff games to choose from. Stokastic’s team of experts will provide insights on each game and identify players who offer optimal NBA DFS value for your roster. Additionally, if you’re a new user eager to join the fun, don’t miss out on our special discount offer! By using the code ‘SCORE’, you can receive a remarkable 50% discount on your first week or first month.

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NBA DFS Value and Advice | May 5

Boston Celtics (-2.5) at Philadelphia 76ers

It appears that the Celtics players are undervalued in terms of pricing, likely due to their limited minutes in their previous blowout game. However, this creates an opportunity for DFS players to capitalize on their lower ownership and potential for high production. Jayson Tatum is a strong pay-up option, and Marcus Smart has the highest chance of being optimal on the team. Additionally, Jaylen Brown presents a lower-owned pivot play, making him an interesting option in tournaments. One player that appears to be getting slept on across the industry is Grant Williams. He played 15 minutes in the first half of the previous game and has been heavily utilized in matchups against Joel Embiid in the past. Despite this, he is not currently projected for any ownership. If he continues to play significant minutes in this series, he could be a steal for DFS players.

Embiid played about 17 first half minutes last game and should get mid-3s0 if he is able to play tonight and if the game is competitive. He is only projected for 10% ownership on DraftKings, making him a very interesting GPP play. James Harden, Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris and De’Anthony Melton are all reasonably priced and projected for 25% to 35% ownership. P.J. Tucker is near the minimum salary but is not a great point-per-minute producer. While his salary can open up strong options in your lineup, it is important to not overlook other options in his price range, such as Williams.

Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns (-4)

Nikola Jokic is the highest-projected player on the slate and is always a strong play. However, it is worth noting that he is projected to be significantly more popular than Embiid, making him a potential fade in tournaments. Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Bruce Brown are all strong plays as well, and Michael Porter Jr. presents an interesting pivot play with half the ownership of his teammates.

On the Suns side, with no Chris Paul, it is likely that Cameron Payne will get the start and play upper-20s minutes. If he does start, Payne is one of the stronger values on the slate. Monty Williams also plans on getting more minutes for Terrence Ross and T.J. Warren to get more scoring on the floor, making them intriguing options in large-field tournaments with no ownership projections.

Without Paul, Devin Booker and Kevin Durant will likely take on a bigger playmaking role, which could increase their production. Deandre Ayton’s production may suffer without Paul’s ability to get him the ball in favorable positions to score. Josh Okogie will be a popular value play as long as he remains in the starting lineup, and Ayton is still favorably priced at just $6,500.

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Adam Scherer

Adam "ShipMyMoney" Scherer has been playing and analyzing DFS full-time since quitting law school in 2016. He has qualified for the 2016 FanDuel MLB Playboy Championship, the 2016 DraftKings Fantasy Baseball World Championship (3x) and the 2019 DraftKings Fantasy Basketball World Championship. You can find him on Twitter at @ShipMyMoneyDFS or by emailing [email protected].