OwnersBox NFL DFS Picks: Rams-Saints DFS Values for Thursday Night Football

OwnersBox NFL DFS is back for the Thursday Night Football showdown between the Los Angeles Rams and the New Orleans Saints. There are several players under $5,000 popping as great values on this slate, so let’s break down the best OwnersBox NFL DFS value plays for Week 16 TNF.

OwnersBox NFL DFS Picks: Rams-Saints TNF DFS Values

Rashid Shaheed – $4,800

With Chris Olave out in Week 15, Shaheed led the Saints in route participation at 76.7%, though he saw just four targets in the game. Olave returns tonight, and Shaheed will slide back down to being the team’s No. 2 receiver, but he has always been a boom/bust play and tonight he has a great matchup with a Rams defense giving up the most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the past five weeks. Shaheed’s projection of 8.85 fantasy points in Stokastic’s OwnersBox NFL DFS projections is the eighth-best value on the slate.

Tyler Higbee – $4,200

Higbee was fourth on the Rams in route participation in Week 15 at 43.2%, but he did see five targets in the game. Higbee has a middling matchup with a Saints defense that has given up the 18th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends over the past five weeks, and his projection of 6.64 fantasy points is the ninth-best value on the slate.

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Juwan Johnson – $3,800

Johnson is in a full-on tight end time share. Even with Taysom Hill out in Week 15, he ran routes on just 43.3% of dropbacks. Still, he’s a capable receiving tight end who can thrive, even in a tough matchup with a Rams defense that has given up the third-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends over the past five weeks. Johnson’s projection of 5.30 fantasy points is the 10th-best value on the slate.

Demarcus Robinson – $4,600

Robinson has come on strong the past two weeks, running routes on 86.3% of drop back and earning 13 targets. Despite a tough matchup with a Saints defense that has given up the third-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the past five weeks, Robinson’s price tag is just a bit too low for his new role. Robinson’s projection of 6.29 fantasy points is the 11th best value on the slate.

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Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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