Oh boy, are there stakes for tonight’s Sunday Night Football action. As Week 15 kicks off, the Ravens and Jaguars both hold division leads, with Baltimore sitting atop the AFC. However, Jacksonville is a mere half game ahead of the Colts in the AFC South, while the Ravens sit in an AFC North division that would have two other playoff teams if the season ended today. When the games matter this much, the fun of Sleeper Fantasy only builds, and tonight they are throwing us a bone with a great pick on sale: Lamar Jackson higher/lower than 0.5 passing yards!
If you have only played Sleeper Fantasy’s season-long fantasy leagues, their pick’em contests are some of the toughest but also most rewarding in terms of real cash. All you have to do is guess if a player will go for higher or lower than a projection Sleeper sets, with each pick getting its own payout multiplier. The more picks you hit, the bigger the cash prize, with the chance to get up to 100x your investment! And now we have a sure thing like this Jackson free square, so let’s get into it and build a Sleeper entry.
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Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions | Week 15 SNF
Lamar Jackson H/L 0.5 Passing Yards
For the sake of readers who do not have the luxury of being a new Sleeper Fantasy customer and thus don’t have access to this free square, we’ll take a look at Jackson’s 215.5 projection. This is a number he has exceeded seven times in 13 games this year, and none of those came against pass defenses as vulnerable as the Jaguars. Jacksonville’s pass defense has allowed the second-most yards through the air in the NFL (of teams that have yet to play in Week 15) and the fifth-most net yards per attempt. In other words, it is super exploitable.
Now, enough of that — let’s get to the sale for new customers. Jackson is going to throw for at least 1 yard barring injury, especially against these Jaguars, so going higher on this one is a no-brainer way to get an entry going. That said, remember that Sleeper entries require at least two picks, so we are going to head over to Stokastic Pick’em Pro to find one more Sunday Night Football play to finish this thing off.
The highest-EV pick from the Jaguars is Travis Etienne less than 3.5 receptions. Unlike a lot of Sleeper plays with high win percentages, this one actually is +EV on its own, even without the Jackson free square. This has a win rate of 59% according to Stokastic, with Etienne projecting for 2.45 catches. Plus, the multiplier is still solid at 1.72x, and paired with Jackson higher than 0.5 passing yards (1.77x), this two-play entry has a 3.04. payout!
If you want to boost your payout potential even more, keep adding picks! You will get better acquainted with Sleeper’s payout structure and strategy for building +EV plays as you get more involved, and if you’re looking for more Sleeper promos, check out Stokastic’s breakdown of everything they offer here!
