Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 10 on DraftKings & FanDuel

Stokastic’s top NFL stacks tool is a helpful guide to use while building daily fantasy football lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. As we search for maximum upside with our Week 10 NFL DFS stack picks, let’s see which teams we should be considering most.

NFL DFS Week 10 Team Stackability Ratings on DraftKings & FanDuel

Below we will quickly break down what can be found on the top stacks tool and the various data points you will see referenced throughout the article.

Top Stack: The probability that the QB + receiver combo will be the highest scoring of the week (averaged the probabilities for top-scoring with one receiver and two receivers together).

QB Own: Ownership projection of the starting quarterback for the given team.

Avg Sal: Average salary of skill position players weighted for ownership projections.

Top Value: Top stack % points per dollar of salary spent.

Rush %: How often the team is expected to rush on any given play during the game. A lower Rush % means the quarterback will be throwing more often!

Overall Rating: Stokastic’s rating of the quality of the stack, taking into consideration key variables like top stack probability, top value probability, and ownership projections.

React App

Week 10 NFL DFS Top Team Stack: Cincinnati Bengals

The Week 10 top team stacks tool currently has the Bengals with the highest top stack probability (17.1%), top value probability (12.0%) and overall rating (33) on DraftKings. If we move to FanDuel, they’re second in top stack probability and tops in the other two categories at 10.3% and 27 respectively.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals have the highest implied team total (28) of Week 10 for their home game against the Texans. Burrow’s boom probability, which measures how likely a player is to reach his ceiling or floor relative to his median projection, is at 13.6% on DraftKings.

For Week 10 NFL DFS, Ja’Marr Chase (currently questionable) is leading the pack in DraftKings boom probability at 17.3%, and he’s followed closely by Joe Mixon (17.3%). Tee Higgins has been ruled out, so both Trenton Irwin (12.7%) and Tyler Boyd (11.0%) are projecting nicely at their affordable salaries as well.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 17.1%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 9.6%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 12.0%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 10.3%
Expected Rush Percentage: 35.0%

Week 10 NFL DFS Top Team Stack: Detroit Lions

The Lions/Chargers showdown is looking like quite an appealing one to stack, on both sides. The game has the slate’s highest O/U at 48.5 points and has a good chance of staying competitive throughout, with Detroit favored by a field despite being on the road. At time of writing, the Lions have the highest top stack probability on FanDuel (13.5%) and second-highest on DraftKings (10.4%).

To get a feel for what players in particular we should be focusing on, let’s do a brief check of the NFL DFS boom and bust probability tool for Detroit. We find Amon-Ra St. Brown (12.3% boom probability) and Sam LaPorta (12.2% boom probability) as the top two on DraftKings, with quarterback Jared Goff at a 5.1% boom probability. Neither Jahmyr Gibbs (1.0% boom probability) nor David Montgomery (0.9%) are projecting super well as of now.

Per the player and team props pages at OddsShopper, Goff has a passing yards prop of 271.5 yards, St. Brown has a receiving prop all the way up at 85.5 yards, and LaPorta has a receiving prop of 50.5 yards.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 10.4%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 13.5%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 6.3%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 8.0%
Expected Rush Percentage: 42.8%

Other Week 10 NFL DFS Team Stacks to Consider

The top stack probabilities and overall ratings are great by themselves, but having additional data points in projected QB ownership, top value probabilities and expected rush percentages for every team all on one page is extremely handy when doing NFL DFS prep.

Using the top stacks tool as our guide, here are more team stacks to consider for your DraftKings and FanDuel Week 10 daily fantasy football lineups.

Dallas Cowboys

Yet again the Cowboys find themselves as a top stack target. They’ll play host to the woeful Giants and are whopping 16-point favorites on the NFL odds board with the second-highest implied team total for Week 10.

The results of Stokastic’s NFL DFS simulations show Jake Ferguson with the highest DraftKings boom probability at 13.7%, and he has an optimal rate of 10.9%. CeeDee Lamb is at a 12.1% boom probability with an optimal rate of 16.2%, while Tony Pollard at a 10.2% boom probability and 19.7% optimal lineup rate. Quarterback Dak Prescott is fourth on the list with a boom number of 9.0% and an optimal rate of 11.4%. On FanDuel, Lamb, Ferguson and Pollard are the top three in boom potential.

DFS gamers will have to factor in ownership projections on Dallas while doing finals lineup preparations, as team stacks involving Prescott and company should be popular again. Will the Cowboys be able to come through against their division rivals?

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 10.0%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 7.5%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 6.6%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 7.1%
Expected Rush Percentage: 41.0%

Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith and the Seahawks are also looking like an attractive team to target with stacks for Week 10 NFL DFS, with the second-highest overall rating on DraftKings and fourth-highest on FanDuel. They have a favorable matchup at home against the Commanders and are implied for 26 points, third-most on the main slate.

Washington has been a team to attack this season and Smith has no shortage of weapons to turn to. Checking out the Seahawks’ player and team props page at OddsShopper, we find Smith with a passing yard prop of 261.5 yards. DK Metcalf has a receiving yards prop of 63.5, with Tyler Lockett at 59.5.

As far as boom probabilities go, it’s Smith who’s actually the king with an 11.4% boom probability on DraftKings, though Lockett (8.6%) and Metcalf (7.6%) aren’t too far behind. Jaxon Smith–Njigba owns a 6.5% boom probability and 8.6% optimal rate on DraftKings, while Kenneth Walker is at a 2.6% boom probability rating and 7.00% optimal rate.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 8.6%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 7.7%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 9.3%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 8.2%
Expected Rush Percentage: 38.5%

These aren’t the only teams and players we should hone in on when making lineups for Week 10.

The 49ers and Texans are also projecting well in terms of DraftKings team stackability for NFL DFS, among others. We recommend you go through all of the top stacks data for the NFL DFS slate to see what edges you can find.

Latest NFL DFS Content

Be mindful that the numbers could change as more news is released and we get closer to kickoff. As usual, Stokastic will be tracking all slate-relevant injury updates and will be tweaking NFL player projections all the way up until lock on DraftKings and FanDuel.

DFS players should be vigilant about watching for player news after initial lock, in case there are better values and stacks to late swap into before the afternoon games kick off.

We should also remember that accurate player projections are just one piece of the NFL DFS puzzle and that other factors like ownership projections, roster construction and game theory should be considered when building lineups.

More Stokastic Week 10 NFL DFS Tools 🏈

NFL Contest Sims
NFL Homepage
NFL Lineup Generator
NFL Player Projections
NFL Ownership Projections
NFL Boom/Bust Probability
NFL Top Stacks Tool
Stokastic YouTube
Stokastic Discord

Author

Scott Krones

Scott is a writer and editor at Stokastic and OddsShopper with a passion for DFS and sports betting. His previous stops include Better Collective, RotoGrinders and RotoWire, and his favorite team is Liverpool.