The 3 BEST NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Karl-Anthony Towns & Goga Bitadze 2/11/22

The NBA trade deadline has come and gone. Needless to say, the landscape of the league was significantly altered by the various deals that went down over the past few days. While some players will undoubtedly see their production decline going forward due to lineup and depth chart changes, others suddenly find themselves in a position to emerge as key contributors. Bettors can use both angles of the trade deadline fallout to their advantage when making NBA picks today and finding the best NBA player prop bets for tonight’s games. 

You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for Friday night’s seven-game NBA slate.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Goga Bitadze Over 6.5 Rebounds (-105, DraftKings)

The two rebounds Goga Bitadze accumulated across 30 minutes of action Tuesday night is irrelevant when it comes to tonight’s NBA betting handicap. The Indiana Pacers have since traded away star big man Domantas Sabonis. While Tristan Thompson was part of the return package in that deal, he is more likely to have his contract bought out than he is to see ample playing time with the Pacers. Meanwhile, Myles Turner has been ruled out through the All-Star break and fellow center Isaiah Jackson is questionable to play tonight with a concussion. The door has swung wide open for Bitadze to make a massive impact.

While Bitadze has averaged less than three boards per game so far this season, he has also played fewer than 12 minutes per game. Thus, his season-long stats are also largely irrelevant given how the Pacers’ frontcourt situation has evolved. OddsShopper shows Bitadze’s NBA player props rebounding total for tonight’s matchup set at 6.5 across the market. However, the optimal -105 odds on the over offer as much as 14 cents better value compared to other prices. This over prediction is one of Awesemo’s favorite NBA prop bets on Friday’s entire card. Bitadze is projected to finish with exactly 7.69 rebounds resulting in a 65% win probability for this wager. At -105 odds, the expected ROI value is set at a solid 26%.


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Devin Vassell Under 4.5 Rebounds (+108, FanDuel)

After the San Antonio Spurs shockingly elected to trade away Derrick White at the deadline, all signs point towards Devin Vassell playing a larger role with increased regularity the rest of the season. With that being said, his minutes figure to predominantly come at shooting guard. As a result, Vassell may not have a tremendous impact on the glass. With questions as to just how the Spurs will handle their new rotation ahead of tonight’s game, it certainly is worth looking to play under the NBA player props line of 4.5 boards for Vassell.

Coming into Friday’s contest, Vassell has averaged only 4.3 rebounds per game this season. Thus, he would need to outperform that mark by 0.7 boards to get the bare minimum needed to go over the NBA betting total. Given that the Spurs face a solid rebounding opponent tonight in the Atlanta Hawks, it will be even tougher for a guard like Vassell to have a demonstrative impact. The best part for bettors is that OddsShopper shows favorable +108 odds available on the under for this prop.

While Awesemo’s expert NBA projection of 4.44 boards indicates a limited statistical advantage, the plus-money price works to boost the ROI on this under prediction up to 17%. Make sure to shop the odds carefully, as this same prop is listed with odds up to -105 at other sportsbooks in the market.

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 4.5 Assists (-135, PointsBet)

While Minnesota Timberwolves center Karl-Anthony Towns may have dished out eight assists on Wednesday, that total is an anomaly relative to his typical production. Towns comes into Friday’s game averaging exactly 4.0 helpers per game this season. This is a mark that he would need to surpass by a full assist in order to clear tonight’s NBA betting line of 4.5. Towns had finished at or below four assists in three straight games prior to Wednesday night’s outburst. OddsShopper shows significant juice to the under on tonight’s prop total across all sportsbooks in the market.

Despite the fact that the lowest price bettors can lay on the under is -135, Awesemo still sees a great deal of value in this wager. Towns is projected for exactly 3.82 assists in tonight’s matchup against the Chicago Bulls. The resulting win probability for the under is a whopping 67%. Furthermore, the preferred -135 odds offer a price advantage of up to 15 cents compared to other offerings in the NBA player props market. Even with the juice, the ROI for this prediction is still a solid 16%.

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