Thursday’s slate across MLB has a couple of sneaky spots to attack in the first inning. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the goal today is to take advantage of vulnerable pitching combined with hitter friendly ballparks. No more sitting through whole games or five innings, as these tickets needs just six outs to cash! Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Thursday, July 7.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/7
Nationals vs. Phillies Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
This is an earlier start than what’s normally targeted in this column, but there’s a fantastic opportunity for the Nationals to get to Bailey Falter. The Phillies will start Falter, who has given up a first-inning run in each of his last two starts at home. He’s also 0-2 with an ERA of 4.88 on the year, but more importantly, his opponent has a knack for scoring runs early in games. Despite being held scoreless in the first for the third straight game, the Nats still boast the best runs-per-first-inning (RPFI) average on the road, with a .72 number. The matchup against Falter is a bonus. Joan Adoan may have one more win on the year than Falter, but he also carries nine more losses. The Phillies also have a great pathway to early scoring, which gives a to boost their .57 RPFI average at home.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Nationals vs. Phillies YRFI (-130 BetMGM)
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ÂYankees vs. Red Sox Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
No matter where these teams are in the standings it’s still the Yankees vs. Red Sox and all that entails with this series. In this case, the first inning is all that matters where the Yankees continue to be the best team in baseball in limiting first inning runs. They surrender just .28 RPFI on the road, compared to Boston giving up .51 RPFI at Fenway. The Yankees are scoring on average of .57 RPFI on the road, where Boston struggles with just a .38 RPFI home average. Neither team scored one in their last game. Gerrit Cole takes on Josh Winckowski as both pitchers enter with ERAs hovering around 3.00 on the year. The concern is always the top-heavy part of the Yankees lineup, but Winckowski has held opponents scoreless in the first over all three of his home starts this season.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Yankees vs. Red Sox NRFI (-120 BetMGM)
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Giants vs. Padres Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
San Diego stands the best shot between the two in plating a run in the first inning, but the Giants aren’t out of the picture by any means. OddsShopper has the Padres as a slight -130 home favorite to win the first inning, but the books are still offering plus money for a YRFI play. The Giants enter tonight giving up .51 RPFI on the road, which should play nicely into the Padres scoring .56 RPFI at their home park. The Giants only average .38 RPFI on the road this year, but they have a .67 average over their last three games. Despite the Padres only giving up .33 RPFI to visiting opponents, they are giving up an average of 1.00 over their last three. Logan Webb and Joe Musgrove are certainly two of baseball’s better pitchers, but the value lies in one of them succumbing to recent hitting trends.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Giants vs. Padres YRFI (+120 BetMGM)
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