There is a 10-game main slate for our baseball betting picks tonight. According to the Awesemo expert MLB player prop tool, there are plenty of good Las Vegas betting odds and lines to target on tonight’s slate. Here are three of the best MLB picks and prop bets for Wednesday, Aug. 18.
Expert MLB Betting Odds & Best Player Props Today
Tarik Skubal Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+105, PointsBet)
Tarik Skubal has been fantastic this year at missing bats. Sporting a robust 26% strikeout rate and only walking 8% of batters has let him get deeper into games recently. The Angels lineup has their best hitters at a platoon disadvantage. They also boast elevated strikeout rates up and down their lineup. A total of six strikeouts seems like a foregone conclusion tonight in Detroit.
Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110, BetMGM)
Charlie Morton is the latest lock of the night as he takes on the Marlins in Miami. Huascar Ynoa came up just short yesterday, but he had plenty of swinging strikes and went a full 90 pitches. The analysis from last night applies here. Morton will be facing a depleted Marlins lineup that was busy trading away their best players at the deadline. Morton is striking out 28% of batters, and the Marlins are bottom of the league in strikeouts this year. The game will also take place in Miami where the park mitigates power and lets the pitcher go deeper in games. This is a great spot to lock in the over on a meager 6.5 strikeouts according to the Awesemo MLB player prop betting tool, even at -110.
Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+625, BetMGM)
Freddie Freeman seems to be one of the most underappreciated stars in the league. Tonight he faces a southpaw, and that has boosted his odds to +625 to hit a home run at Marlins Park. Similar to the Pete Alonso bet from last night, these odds are simply too good to pass up for a batter that has .564 xSLG and 12% barrels this season. Jesus Luzardo does not go deep into games due to his 11% walk rate and an xSLG allowed of .462. Freddie Freeman will also get a terrible Marlins bullpen after Luzardo exits the game.
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