The Dallas Cowboys may have to lean a bit more on Ezekiel Elliott when they venture to U.S. Bank Stadium to battle the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 8 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Cowboys vs. Vikings Sunday Night Football matchup.
Week 8 Sunday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
Ezekiel Elliott Under 75.5 Yards Rushing (-115, DraftKings)
Elliott has split carries with Tony Pollard, and the NFL Player Props Tool anticipates that to be the case against an otherwise mediocre Minnesota run defense. While Elliott has averaged 86.83 yards per game this season, the props tool gives the under a 59% expected win rate. As Elliott is projected for 69.68 yards, the props tool also projects the under for a 14% return on investment.
The Vikings run defense has surrendered 108.33 yards per game to opposing running backs and ranks 24th in defensive run DVOA. Elliott accounts for 53.3% of the Cowboys’ yards and 53.6% of their attempts, while Dallas has run on 46.1% of their plays. However, Dak Prescott is a game-time decision, and given Elliott’s line, it would be best to play the wait-and-see approach with Prescott’s injury status. If he sits, Elliott’s projections and prop lines will almost certainly increase, which would not be the best value after locking in at a lower rate. Follow the line until Prescott is confirmed in or out before making a conclusion.
Dalvin Cook Under 3.5 Receptions (-115, Caesars)
Dalvin Cook is averaging three receptions and 4.5 targets per game, but the props tool gives the under a 63% expected win rate. Cook is projected for 3.14 receptions against the Cowboys, and the Props Tool projects the under for a 17% return on investment. The Cowboys defense has surrendered 6.83 receptions per game to opposing running backs while ranking 19th in defensive pass DVOA against the position. Cook accounts for just 11.4% of the Vikings team targets and 10.4% of the Vikings’ receptions this season. With Cook seeing just two targets in his last outing after returning from injury, book the under at moderate house juice.
Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 Receptions (-110, Caesars)
Justin Jefferson is averaging 6.83 catches per game this season, yet the NFL Player Props Tool gives the under on 6.5 a 63% expected win rate. With Jefferson projected for 6.06 receptions against the Cowboys the props tool projects a 20% return on investment for the under. The Cowboys defense ranks 10th in defensive pass DVOA and is allowing 13.16 catches per game to opposing wide receivers. Dallas is also allowing just a 59.4% catch rate to the wide receiver position, which is fourth, and the coverage by Trevon Diggs does not help matters. At minimal house juice, grab the under on Jefferson’s catch prop.
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