It is a loaded NHL betting night with 11 games on tap across the league, with a bit of everything to be had. With slates this size there is plenty of value, as games and players go overlooked. To simplify the process of looking across the entire betting market and finding the best NHL bets, this column will use Awesemo’s OddsShopper while incorporating industry-leading projections to help make the most thoughtful decisions. It is a beast to get through, so let’s get into it for Tuesday night.
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Best NHL Bets Today: Player Prop Picks & Predictions
Sharks vs. Lightning Over 5.5: -115 (New York Sportsbook Offers)
With the juice heading to the over at six on some websites, this is the best OddsShopper value of any NHL bet on the night. The Lightning and Sharks (mostly the Lightning) have been mediocre to solid defensively all year, ranking above 20th in the league in most defensive metrics, but they are still allowing 5.83 goals per game in total between them. The Sharks come in third worst in the league in chances against per 60 minutes at even strength this year, which is considerably dangerous facing a team with the skill of Tampa Bay. The Lightning have been great at five-on-five, allowing the third-fewest goals per 60 minutes, but they have struggled all year to stay out of the penalty box, with an average of five minors per game. The Lightning’s lack of discipline should aid the Sharks power play, which has struggled most of the year, converting at just 18.4%.
Unfortunately, part of this great value is due to the recent struggles of both teams’ goaltending — even Andrei Vasilevskiy is human, allowing 12 goals in his last four starts. With the lack of discipline on the Lightning and the Sharks’ willingness to sit back, this could turn into a snipe show.
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Jesper Bratt Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: -120 (New York Sportsbook Offers)
Only one other shot on goal prop bet has a higher expected win percentage on OddsShopper (William Nylander, -160) than this one, with Jasper Bratt’s projected shot total of 2.77 and a season average of 2.7 shots per game. Bratt has come back firing the puck since returning from COVID and being paired with Jack Hughes on the Devils top line. Bratt has been extremely consistent in the last six, with at least two shots on goal in every game and three shots in four of the six.
The Devils have struggled of late, losing five of six, and their goalie situation is a disaster. However, the Devils top line, Hughes and Bratt in particular, has continued to pace the team with a Corsi-for percentage just under 58 and just over 60% expected goals per 60. The Maple Leafs look primed to sweep this home-and-home, but it will not be to the fault of Bratt.
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