Welcome to the Awesemo Expert Golf Betting Picks page for The Palmetto Championship. Our golf betting experts have outlined their favorite bets of the week, and located some of the best PGA betting odds and top options on BetMGM, PointsBet and more! We have loads of promo codes available if you’re new to the world of sports betting.
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In this new weekly article, our golf experts will give their favorite PGA betting picks, odds and predictions of the week for the upcoming Palmetto Championship.
Ben Rasa’s Pick: Harold Varner III
Outright 50-1 (PointsBet)
This is a field that resembles the week before a major, so it is a perfect opportunity for someone to grab a breakthrough win. There are a few elite talents at the top, but after that it is wide open. With the course being new to the players, there are a lot of different directions to go. Varner certainly would qualify as a longer shot, but one with realistic equity to be in the mix. He sits 50-1 on the outright market, which is a great price and has shown the ability to get into contention on tour. Varner was runner-up just a few months ago at RBC Heritage, and his game seems to be close, even without the consistent results.
The big question is, how will Varner like the distance of this course? If he can handle that, his game feels like its in solid shape and the volatility is best suited for an outright market. At 50-1 this is the best way to get exposure to him on the week.
Max Smotritskiy’s Pick: Ben Martin
Outright 100-1 (PointsBet) | Top 10 +575 (PointsBet)
Other than Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka, the rest of the stars chose to skip this tournament and instead prepare for the U.S. Open next week. Who can blame them? This course is long, and the weather is projected to be dreadful. The course also projects to play as a combination of links courses in Europe and desert courses in Australia. All in all, be prepared for a lot of strange things this week, and one of those will be Martin winning a tournament. This would not be coming out of nowhere, however. Martin is playing the best golf of his career. He has gained strokes off the tee and on approach in every tournament since the Puerto Rico Open. He also has made every cut except one and has a ninth- and an 11th-place finish in those five tournaments. Not known for his length, Martin is a respectable 52nd in driving distance in this field, so the long course should not bother him. A combination of seventh in opportunities gained and second in bogeys avoided in the last two months propels him to be a great pick at 100-1 in this desolate field.
Geoff Ulrich’s Pick: Camilo Villegas
Outright 125-1 (BetMGM) | Top 20 +475 (BetMGM)
We hit a nice top-20 on another longshot last week with Aaron Wise and will keep the same kind of mentality going here. Villegas has shown flashes of great play lately, landing four top-25 finishes his last seven starts. Three of those four top-25s have resulted in full top-20 placings, so his hit rate is right around 42% for this +425 (top-20) on offer over the last couple of months. All of those good finishes have come on Bermuda greens where Villegas has gained 10 strokes putting over his last 50 rounds. He has won in the Carolinas before at the Wyndham (on Bermuda) and has also had some great results at the Seaside Course on Sea Island, which is another Tom Fazio design (he also designed Congaree). Villegas’ tee-to-green game has been in good form of late (14th in strokes gained on approach in this field), and I expect a quick bounce back here after a missed cut at Memorial. The outright odds are more than big enough to add him as an outright flier in this weakened Palmetto Championship field as well.
Jason Rouslin’s Pick: Luke List
Outright 80-1 | Top 5 11-1 | Top 10 5-1 | Top 20 +230 | First-Round Leader 66-1 (All BetMGM)
While the finishes have not been there, List’s poor performances do not come without some good golf being played. He has gained over a stroke ball striking in five of his last eight events, something some golfers don’t do five times in 20 events. Against a weak field, he shouldn’t have to make as many putts to compete, and he holds the course record. I don’t want to miss out on him playing well just in Round 1 either, so I’ve added that to my card this week. The top-20 bet will cover my fees for the other four bets.
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