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F1 DFS Picks: Italian Grand Prix DraftKings Best Plays for GPPs and Cash Games

Phillip Beneteau

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STC Saudi Arabian Grand Prix DraftKings F1 DFS preview and Formula 1 fantasy racing picks this week, driver rankings, projections & expert predictions

Formula 1 returns to Italy this week. This race brings lots of variables and changes compared to most weeks.

The Ferrari cars will be looking to bounce back after a rough stretch of races the last couple weekends. Unfortunately for the Williams team, they will be without their top driver Alex Albon who is out with appendicitis. Former Formula 2 and Formula E champion Nyck De Vries will take his spot. De Vries is expected to be added to the DraftKings driver pool prior to the race.

There are also multiple cars that have grid penalties this weekend so the starting positions will look a lot different than how the qualifying results actually went.

Expected Grid Penalties:

Max Verstappen – 5 places

Esteban Ocon – 5 places

Sergio Perez – 10 places

Mick Schumacher – 15 places

Valtteri Bottas – 15 places

Kevin Magnussen – 15 places

Carlos Sainz, Lewis Hamilton and Yuki Tsunoda – back of the grid

These penalties are going to lead to one of the most interesting starting grids of the 2022 season. The top 10 cars to make it to Q3 for Saturday’s qualifying session were, Sainz, Charles Leclerc, Verstappen, Perez, Hamilton, George RussellLando NorrisDaniel RicciardoPierre Gasly, and Fernando Alonso.

Leclerc actually took the pole position, setting the fastest lap in Q3. He beat out Max Verstappen by 0.145 seconds. After the grid penalties, it looks like Leclerc will be joined by Russell on the front row.

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The Stokastic team of experts and data analysts has already been in the lab creating a proprietary model and has F1 DFS projections available for this week’s race. Using those F1 Fantasy projections, Stokastic has you covered with all of the best DraftKings F1DFS picks for the Belgian Grand Prix on Sunday.

F1 DFS Picks: DraftKings F1 Fantasy Racing Advice

Best F1 Fantasy & DFS Constructor Picks

McLaren ($5,100)

This is the most mixed-up starting grid we have seen all year which gives DFS players a multitude of ways to go in both GPPs and cash games. McLaren has a top driver in Lando Norris that had his best results since the Imola Grand Prix where he took home his only podium of the 2022 season.

Since then, the McLaren car has been stuck well behind the top three cars on the grid which usually makes their constructor a value play, at best.

With all the grid penalties, McLaren will be starting in third and fourth on the grid. While many aren’t expecting them to stay there, the fact that Sainz and Hamilton will be starting from the back of the pack means that this salary saving option could  be useful for cash game builds. Each of the top three constructors have at least one driver starting from 13th or worse, with Hamilton and Sainz starting in the final two rows.

Red Bull ($12,100), Ferrari ($11,100) & Mercedes ($10,300)

As far GPP plays go, these three mainstays are still the ones that make the most sense. Because each team has at least one driver starting closer to the back of the field, and Red Bull even has Verstappen starting in seventh, each of the top constructors offers major volatility this weekend.

Ferrari seems to have the best car and duo this weekend as they were able to hold off Verstappen in qualifying on Saturday. Additionally, this course does allow passing. We have already seen cars make their way through the field at various races this season and it is expected that Sainz and Hamilton will make their way back into points scoring positions and possibly even contend for top five finishes.

Stacking a top driver with his constructor is not a necessary play this weekend because of all the drastic penalties and starting positions. It would also not be surprising to see multiple accidents here. Only once since 2014 have more than 16 drivers finished the race here at Monza.

Best F1 Fantasy & DFS Driver Picks

Charles Leclerc ($11,000 DraftKings; First)

This will be Leclerc’s best chance at winning in front of the Italian home crowd and an opportunity to redeem himself after his mistake earlier this season at the Imola Grand Prix. Leclerc will be joined by Russell on the front row, but Verstappen will need to make his way through multiple cars, including the two McLaren’s, before he will even get the chance to attack Leclerc. He is an obvious cash game play and should be a core piece in GPPs as well.

Max Verstappen ($12,200 DraftKings; Seventh)

While Verstappen is starting in seventh on the grid, he is still the odds-on favorite to win the Italian Grand Prix. This track does offer plenty of overtaking opportunities which will benefit the Red Bull driver. His car is much quicker than any other team’s aside from the Ferrari, so Verstappen should find himself on the podium at the end of the race, as long as something doesn’t happen to his car.

Verstappen was sitting at -250 to win the race coming into the weekend, but his grid place penalty has brought down his odds. The one caveat to share about Verstappen is that this has not been his track in the past. Whether it is bad luck or bad fortune, Verstappen has never finished higher than fifth here since his first one on this course in 2016.

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George Russell ($9,800 DraftKings; Second)

There is much to like about this play in both cash and GPP games. Russell has simply been able to get more out of the Mercedes car than Hamilton this year. Now he will be starting on the first row of the grid while Hamilton will be starting on the last row. There is always a chance that something happens to Russell, but this race sets up perfectly for the Mercedes driver who is under scrutiny after deciding to pit for soft tires instead of being a buffer for teammate Hamilton with just a few laps last week at Zandvoort.

Russell has the podium in his sights and should be able to hold off his teammate all race, making him a very strong play as the cheaper driver on Mercedes, and fourth-highest priced driver on DraftKings. There is actually a way to get all three drivers mentioned here in your lineups if you take a risk on your constructor.

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Lando Norris ($7,800 DraftKings; Third)

There is a way to play the previous three drivers in a lineup, but going down to Norris allows for much more flexibility. Norris had a strong Free Practice 2 and Free Practice 3 sessions followed by stellar qualifying times which will net him a third place starting position on the grid. Norris has continuously out-raced Ricciardo and is a -500 favorite to beat his teammate on Sunday. He is a strong mid-priced driver with so much uncertainty at the top this weekend.

Kevin Magnussen ($3,800 DraftKings; 16th)

The $5,000 and under range this week is a mine-field. Because of all the grid penalties, there are many drivers who are starting much higher than they should be and who have the potential to lose grid place points. Even Ricciardo feels like a too-good-to-be-true play considering he won here last year and is starting in fourth. Magnussen is someone to keep in mind as his starting position is key. He will be starting in 16th place, one spot ahead of his teammate. Although Magnussen should be passed by Sainz and Hamilton early in the race, he could still pass some other driver to make up positions. Magnussen also sits as a -200 favorite to beat his team mate Mick Schumacher.

Nyck de Vries ($3,400 DraftKings; Eighth)

Nyck de Vries was expected to come in priced around Alex Albon who he is taking over for this weekend. Instead he came in priced much cheaper at $3,400. The Williams replacement driver actually took the Free Practice 1 session in an Aston Martin car and put up a better time than Nicholas Latifi. He also took Free Practice 3 and was pretty on par with Latifi, but then showed his true talent in the qualifying session. Nyck out-qualified Latifi and is starting two spots ahead of him. He is also a -165 favorite to beat Latifi, making him a strong value play.

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