NBA Player Props: Big Night for DeMar DeRozan? (March 15)

With the NCAA Tournament upon us, the NBA is about to take a step back in at the forefront of basketball. However, we’ve still got some enticing NBA slates to handicap. Bettors looking to find the best NBA player props can easily get overwhelmed by the onslaught of on-court action this time of year. Even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below DeMar DeRozan player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 15

Troy Brown Jr. Prop O/U 2.5 Assists

The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the Houston Rockets this evening. The Lakers just topped the New Orleans Pelicans last night in a massive 35-point, 17-rebound game for Anthony Davis. However, despite the Lakers’ win last night, NBA Bet Pro sees Troy Brown Jr. as a player to fade on this evening’s board.

With the books listing Brown’s assist prop at 2.5, NBA Bet Pro finds some value on the under. The tool projects him for only 2 assists tonight. He is averaging only 1.2 assists per game this year and 2.1 since the All-Star Break. This play is one of the most exploitable numbers on the board, but bettors can find several more by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Troy Brown Jr. Under 2.5 Assists (-150) at DraftKings

DeMar DeRozan Prop O/U 23.5 Points

The Chicago Bulls and Sacramento Kings will match up in a pace-up spot for DeMar DeRozan and company. With DeRozan averaging 25 points per game this year, he can have a below-average performance and still cash this NBA player prop.

NBA Bet Pro projects DeRozan for 25.6 points tonight — much more in line with his average production. He should do plenty of damage against a Kings defense that is content to just try and outscore its opponents. This play has a projected win rate of 56%, better than the implied odds available at BetMGM (52%). Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

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Jayson Tatum Prop O/U 9.5 Rebounds

The Boston Celtics will face off with the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Celtics must turn their recent slump around, but NBA Bet Pro doesn’t expect Jayson Tatum to contribute much to that this evening — at least on the glass. The star power forward is averaging only 8.9 rebounds per game this year.

Tatum is projected for 9.3 rebounds tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. That’s a solid number, but with the under in the plus money, this play has +EV with its expected win rate sitting at 50%. Readers can head to Caesars Sportsbook for one of the best deals on the market — those yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum Under 9.5 Rebounds (+104) at Caesars

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.