Best NBA Player Props: Fade Kevin Durant on the Glass (May 1)

The opening round of the NBA playoffs is officially in the books. That means it’s time to buckle up for an exciting second round. With so much on the line every night, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Kevin Durant player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday’s playoff games.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | May 1 Playoff Games

Kevin Durant Prop O/U 8.5 Rebounds  

Kevin Durant hauled in a monster 14 rebounds in Game 1 against the Denver Nuggets. The books have since overcorrected his rebounding prop by setting the number at 8.5. Durant averaged only 6.7 rebounds per game in the regular season and 7.6 per game in the opening-round series against the Clippers.

NBA Bet Pro recommends shorting Durant. The tool projects him for only 6.8 rebounds tonight, much more in line with this regular-season average. Regression comes for everyone, and betting on it to come for Durant tonight should prove profitable.

The under has an expected win rate of 65%, which is far, far better than the implied odds available at PointsBet (56.5%). Readers eager to find more mispriced props should try a one-week trial of NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Kevin Durant Under 8.5 Rebounds -110 at PointsBet

Jaylen Brown Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers

Will Jaylen Brown get hot from beyond the arc? He is averaging 2.8 3-pointers per game in the playoffs after he averaged 2.4 in the regular season. However, Brown must now face the slow-paced 76ers against whom he averaged only 2 3-pointers per game.

Brown should score only 2.1 3-pointers tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. That’s far more in line with what he averaged against the 76ers in the regular season — and what he averaged during the regular season in general.

The under has an expected win rate of 57%, per NBA Bet Pro. Readers can take advantage of the best deal via PointsBet, which has set the implied odds for the under to only 55.6%. Readers yet to register at PointsBet can get five second-chance bets up to $50 apiece!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jaylen Brown Under 2.5 3-Pointers -125 at PointsBet

Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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