Best NBA Player Props: Fade LeBron James from the Perimeter (April 19)

Three more NBA playoff games await bettors tonight. Injury headlines loom large over the slate, as both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Ja Morant may miss their Game 2s. With such big news on the radar, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below LeBron James player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday’s playoff games.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 19 Playoff Games

LeBron James Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers 

The Los Angeles Lakers stole Game 1 in Memphis. LeBron James racked up three 3-pointers on 3-for-8 shooting in the game on his way to a solid 21 points. It’s not the dominant performance some are used to seeing out of him, but it was enough to propel the Lakers to a win.

Yet despite his solid Game 1 showing, NBA Bet Pro sees a ton of value on the under for this market. James averaged 2.2 3-pointers per game on 32.1% shooting in the regular season. Those numbers ticked up to 2.4 and 37.5% after the All-Star Break, but NBA Bet Pro has James with 2.2 3-pointers tonight.

The under has an expected win rate of 56%, better than the implied odds of 51% available at BetRivers. Readers eager to find more mispriced props should try a one-week trial of NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: LeBron James Under 2.5 3-Pointers -104 at BetRivers

Aaron Gordon Prop O/U 14.5 Points

The Denver Nuggets obliterated the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1. Aaron Gordon didn’t play a massive role in the win, as he scored only 13 points, but he got into early foul trouble and played only 23 minutes in the game. He averaged 16.3 points per game in the regular season, so this number seems to be underestimating him after the down night.

NBA Bet Pro has Gordon scoring 15.8 points tonight. That gives the over an expected win rate of 52%, which is slightly better than the implied odds available at BetMGM (51%). This bet isn’t the safest play, but hey, we can’t give out all of NBA Bet Pro’s top plays for free. Still, readers yet to register at BetMGM can even get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance, so you can minimize your risk by signing up there!

Best NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon Over 14.5 Points -105 at BetMGM

Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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