With just two nights of NBA action to go before the All-Star Break, bettors don’t have much time left before the pause. However, with loads of action to process, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Donovan Mitchell player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 15
Walker Kessler Prop O/U 1.5 Blocks
The Utah Jazz will square off against the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With Lauri Markkanen questionable, Utah’s role players will need to step up. Starting center Walker Kessler may end up contributing a bit more than expected on defense.
Kessler is averaging 2.4 blocks per game since becoming a regular starter in mid-January. NBA Bet Pro projects him for another 2.6 blocks tonight, which gives this play an expected win rate of 65%, better than the implied odds of 61.8%. To find even more NBA player props that the books have mispriced, subscribe to NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Walker Kessler Over 1.5 Blocks (-162) at FanDuel
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Dennis Smith Jr. Prop O/U 3.5 Assists
The Charlotte Hornets and San Antonio Spurs will do battle in one of the NBA’s least meaningful games tonight. But the game isn’t meaningless for Dennis Smith Jr., who finds himself on a one-year deal with the Hornets.
NBA Bet Pro projects Smith for 4.2 assists tonight, well above the total posted for this prop. This play has an expected win rate of 47%, dramatically better than its implied odds of 41.2%. Bettors should hurry to Caesars Sportsbook before the line moves. New users can get their first bet on Caesars for up to $1,250!
Best NBA Player Prop: Dennis Smith Jr. Over 3.5 Assists *+143) at Caesars
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Donovan Mitchell Prop O/U 4.5 Assists
In a crucial Eastern Conference contest, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Philadelphia 76ers will meet in Philly tonight. Although the Cavs have found a way to win at home, they are only 13-16 on the road.
Mitchell may need to do most of the scoring tonight, which could limit his chances to dish out assists. NBA Bet Pro projects him for only 4.1 assists, which gives this play an expected win rate of 52% — slightly better than the implied odds of 48.8% available at BetMGM. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book!
Best NBA Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Under 4.5 Assists (+105) at BetMGM
