NBA Player Props: Will Paolo Banchero Get a Block? (Feb. 14)

The All-Star Break is fast approaching, so bettors looking to squeeze out some value on the NBA betting market should do so quickly before the pause. But with loads of action to process, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Paolo Banchero player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 14

Terence Davis Prop O/U 3.5 Rebounds

The Sacramento Kings will square off against the Phoenix Suns tonight. The Suns won’t have Kevin Durant quite yet, so it’ll be important for the Kings to get a win over them while they remain shorthanded. Journeyman guard Terence Davis may have to play a solid role for them to secure the win.

Davis is averaging only 2.4 rebounds per game this year, but NBA Bet Pro projects him for 4.1 tonight following the injury to Malik Monk. Davis played 32 minutes in Sacramento’s last game and racked up six boards. This offers the fourth-most sEV on the slate. To view the bets with a chance of turning a profit, subscribe to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Terence Davis Over 3.5 Rebounds (+120) at DraftKings

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Markelle Fultz Prop O/U 1.5 Steals

The Orlando Magic will visit the Toronto Raptors tonight. The Magic just beat the Chicago Bulls on the road. Markelle Fultz didn’t record a steal in the win but is averaging 1.5 steals per game on the year.

NBA Bet Pro projects Fultz for 1.7 steals tonight, which both exceeds his season average and this prop total. This play has an expected win rate of 42%, which gives it a sizeable edge over the implied odds of 38.6% available at Caesars Sportsbook. New users can get their first bet on Caesars for up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Markelle Fultz Over 1.5 Steals (+159) at Caesars

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Paolo Banchero Prop O/U 0.5 Blocks

Another bet for the Orlando Magic, this one on Paolo Banchero, stands out as a value play for this evening. The first-overall pick isn’t an aggressive rim protector and has gone without a block in 33 of his 51 appearances.

With NBA Bet Pro projecting Banchero for only 0.3 blocks tonight, the under has an expected win rate of 63%. That sits slightly above the implied odds available at BetMGM (60%) and should yield bettors a positive return. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book!

Best NBA Player Prop: Paolo Banchero Under 0.5 Blocks (-150) at BetMGM

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.