NBA Player Props: Fade Jayson Tatum on the Glass (May 17)

The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will square off in the Eastern Conference Finals for the third time in four years. Game 1 is scheduled to take place in Boston this evening. With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jayson Tatum player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Wednesday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Heat-Celtics Game 1

Jayson Tatum Prop O/U 10.5 Rebounds

The highest-value NBA player prop on tonight’s board stands out at PointsBet. Jayson Tatum, who averaged only 8.8 rebounds per game in the regular season, has seen his rebounding prop inflated all the way to 10.5. Although he has averaged 10.6 rebounds per game in the postseason, this number is just too high.

NBA Bet Pro projects Tatum for only 9.3 rebounds tonight, which is far more in line with his regular-season production. Tatum averaged only 8.3 rebounds in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals as well. This projection gives the under an expected win rate of 60%.

PointsBet is charging only -140, or 58.3%, for the under. That means bettors are getting a solid chunk of edge. Readers yet to sign up for PointsBet can get five second-chance bets worth up to $50 apiece! Take advantage of that deal to build your bankroll before it disappears.

Best NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum Under 10.5 Rebounds -140 at BetMGM

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Marcus Smart Prop O/U 13.5 Points

NBA Bet Pro also recommends fading Marcus Smart. Smart averaged only 11.5 points per game in the regular season and beat this number just once in three starts against the Miami Heat. He is averaging 15.8 points per game in the postseason and averaged 16.6 points per game in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals, which is letting us get this prop at a great price.

Smart is projected for only 12.7 points tonight. Most sportsbooks have the total for this prop set to 13.5, but we can still find the 14.5 at BetRivers. Let’s exploit the misprice and jump on this line before this number moves. Readers eager for more mispriced NBA player props should simply sign up for NBA Bet Pro — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!

Best NBA Player Prop: Marcus Smart Under 14.5 Points -130 at BetRivers

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.