Expert MLB DFS Advice: No One Tops Spencer Strider (April 24)

Today’s baseball schedule features a jam-packed slate offering plenty of opportunities for MLB DFS plays. In this breakdown, we will evaluate each game and pinpoint the players who provide the best value for your daily fantasy lineups. Let’s kick things off by exploring some possible MLB DFS value picks.

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MLB DFS Value and Advice | April 24

Chicago White Sox (Lance Lynn) at Toronto Blue Jays (Chris Bassitt)

Lance Lynn is a high-risk, high-reward play on tonight’s slate. He’s much better at striking out righties and limiting power to righties, which bodes well against the Blue Jays right-handed heavy lineup. However, that doesn’t mean they can’t find success, especially given the power potential of players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette. On the flip side, Chris Bassitt has a more appealing matchup against the White Sox, who don’t have as much firepower as the Jays. Keep an eye on the Blue Jays right-handed power bats, but don’t overlook Bassitt as a solid pitching option.

Miami Marlins (Edward Cabrera) at Atlanta Braves (Spencer Strider)

This game offers an intriguing matchup between two young pitchers and two dangerous lineups. Edward Cabrera is a talented young pitcher facing a dangerous Atlanta lineup, while Spencer Strider is the clear No. 1 pitcher on tonight’s slate, with a 38.6% strikeout percentage in his starts since the beginning of last season. Neither side projects to be popular, which makes them both interesting in tournaments.


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Detroit Tigers (Matt Boyd) at Milwaukee Brewers (Colin Rea)

This game features two underwhelming pitching options that carry some SP2 appeal on DraftKings simply because most pitchers tonight either aren’t very good, are in difficult matchups or both. There is not much recent data on either pitcher, but Colin Rea has a good matchup against the Tigers, and on this slate that’s enough to warrant some ownership as an SP2. Bats in this game offer plenty of upside against two big pitching question marks. Brewers right-handed power is the first place to look, with Willy Adames and William Contreras standing out the most. It also makes sense to target power from the Tigers, specifically Akil Baddoo.

New York Yankees (Jhony Brito) at Minnesota Twins (Sonny Gray)

Sonny Gray is one of the best pitchers on the slate not named Spencer Strider. He has struck out 28.3% of hitters through his first few starts this season and has struck out 24.7% since the start of last season. There is also a bit of a watered-down lineup for the Yankees without Giancarlo Stanton or Josh Donaldson. Jhony Brito doesn’t project as a particularly good major league pitcher, so look to hitters against him. Joey Gallo is good, and Jorge Polanco is a strong value at second base.

Oakland Athletics (Ken Waldichuk) at Los Angeles Angels (Jose Suarez)

Ken Waldichuk is one of the most appealing pitchers to roster hitters against on this slate, while Jose Suarez is an average pitcher in a pretty good matchup. The park is favorable for hitters, but Suarez is just $5,800 on DraftKings, so he makes for a quality SP2 value. The Angels are at the top of the Top Stacks Tool and are extremely popular, so players will need to find ways to be contrarian around them in GPPs, but they look very good overall. Don’t sleep on Shohei Ohtani just because he is left-handed. He can handle left-handed pitching, and Waldichuk has given up power to both sides of the plate. Athletics hitters are interesting in tournaments, as they get a nice park upgrade and also provide some leverage against a 20% owned pitcher. Brent Rooker is the best option from Oakland.

Kansas City Royals (Brad Keller) at Arizona Diamondbacks (Tommy Henry)

These are two of the top three offenses in the Top Stacks Tool. Arizona and Kansas City both have appealing matchups and plenty of upside. The Diamondbacks have a 5.6 implied run total against Brad Keller, who is decent at limiting power but doesn’t miss a lot of bats. The offense is reasonably priced, making them an easy stack to get to. Tommy Henry is $5,000 on DraftKings, so he is actually viable as an SP2 for those in need of the savings, but the Royals bats also look good against him. They look even better on FanDuel than DraftKings because Bobby Witt Jr. is discounted and Franmil Reyes is in the player pool.

St. Louis Cardinals (Jordan Montgomery) at San Francisco Giants (Alex Cobb)

Two good pitchers in a park that limits power make both offenses unappealing to roster. One could make a case for stacking them at low ownership just based on their talent, but neither is particularly likely to succeed. Either pitcher is a viable SP2, as they are two of the more talented pitchers on the slate, but they are also relatively expensive. That is keeping them in the 10% to 15% ownership range.

Author
Adam "ShipMyMoney" Scherer has been playing and analyzing DFS full-time since quitting law school in 2016. He has qualified for the 2016 FanDuel MLB Playboy Championship, the 2016 DraftKings Fantasy Baseball World Championship (3x) and the 2019 DraftKings Fantasy Basketball World Championship. You can find him on Twitter at @ShipMyMoneyDFS or by emailing [email protected].

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