NBA Player Props: Anoint Mark Williams as No. 1 Sleeper (March 9)

In today’s NBA Bet Pro article, we’ll be sharing the top three NBA player props for Thursday, March 9, on DraftKings. While today’s slate may carry a higher degree of risk, there are still several opportunities to boost your earnings with the help of NBA Bet Pro. This platform is designed to uncover potential advantages in the lines. And the good news is that you can give it a try for a week without any cost! So let’s dive in and discover the player props that you should focus on today.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 9

3. Mark Williams Over 1.5 Blocks (+135)

Williams has become a favorite of Stokastic experts, as he gets the most out of his minutes whenever he sees an uptick. He is only averaging 17.9 minutes and 1.1 blocks on the season, but his playing time has jumped dramatically since the trade deadline and he is regularly going for 27 to 30 minutes. Plus, though he is averaging more than a block a game on the season, Williams has not gone over 1.5 in each of the last seven games. Stokastic is projecting some regression, slating him for 1.7 blocks. It is a riskier bet at just a 45% win rate, but it is the No. 3 +EV DraftKings prop at the moment.

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2. Donte DiVincenzo Over 1.5 Steals (+135)

It would not be a Thursday slate of NBA Bet Pro props if DiVincenzo did not appear. He is the perennially undervalued depth piece for the Warriors, one who has become a reliable starter due to Golden State’s injury troubles. Tonight he ranks second in projected minutes for the Warriors, trailing only Klay Thompson, and DiVincenzo has registered at least two steals in eight of 14 games in which he played at least 33 minutes (his projection for tonight). NBA Bet Pro. has him picking up 1.8 steals against a Grizzlies team that is without Ja Morant and may struggle to find offense without him on the floor.

Again, this is a bet with a sub-50% win rate, but the plus money makes it an excellent play long-term.

1. De’Aaron Fox Under 6.5 Assists (+120)

Fox is on a hot streak for this over, going for seven-plus assists in four straight games. However, tonight’s matchup with the Knicks is a major pace down, losing the Kings nearly four possessions per 48 minutes. The Kings are also fully healthy, and Domantas Sabonis has also been distributing at a high rate. With Sabonis 0.7 assists per game and projecting for 0.3 tonight, the expectation is that this slower-paced game will run a bit more through Sabonis than through Fox. As such, this under at plus money is the only NBA player prop of the day in double digits for +EV, making it the No. 1 play of the slate.

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.