NBA Player Props NHA: Kyrie Irving's Points Line Climbing (March 8)

In this article, we will delve into the top NBA player props offered for No House Advantage‘s Vs. The House contest. Josh Engleman will provide analysis and reasoning for each pick as well as the current line and his perspective on why they offer value for NBA player prop wagers. Additionally, readers can take advantage of a seven-day free trial of NBA Bet Pro to explore how they can profit from their wagers.

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NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props

Deandre Ayton Over 14.5 Points

Ayton’s point line is set at 14.5 points, which is way too low. He is projected to score around 17.7 points and is not going to have lower usage now that Kevin Durant is with the team. In the three games that Durant has played, Ayton’s usage has been very low, but that is not going to be the case moving forward. Ayton is going to be a normal 20% usage guy, and 14.5 points is going to be preposterous. Ayton’s minutes are not going anywhere, and his scoring is not going to decrease either. This is the No. 1 prop for today, and so take it while you still can.

Herbert Jones Over 8.5 Points

The line is set at 10.3, but Jones is projected to score around 9.5 points in 29 minutes. Jones may play a minute above that mark, which is why this prop is worth considering. Although this is not a great scoring environment, the Mavericks do not have a great defense this year. Therefore, Jones is likely a point under-projected. This prop grades out to go over 60% of the time, making it a no-brainer to take Jones over 8.5 points.

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Cam Reddish Over 2.5 Rebounds

The line is set at 2.5 rebounds, but Reddish is projected to get around 3.9 rebounds. This is an interesting line, as it suggests that Reddish is not going to play as much as he has been playing. However, no one is back for Portland. Therefore, it is expected that Reddish will have a solid rebounding game. This prop graded out over 70% of the time to the over for his rebounds, making it a good pick to consider.

Kyrie Irving Under 27.5 Points

Irving’s point line is set at 27.5 points, but he is projected to score around 24 points per game. Although Irving has been playing well lately, it is unlikely that he will exceed his projected points for this game. Again, the Mavericks-Pelicans game is not a great scoring environment. Irving’s usage may be high, but the Mavericks are likely going to spread the ball around, which may limit his scoring. Therefore, it is a good pick to consider taking the under for Irving at 27.5 points.

Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].