The weekend MLB betting is getting started with a 14-game slate today. There are a few spots with strong MLB betting odds heading into tonight’s first pitch, and below you will find Awesemo’s free expert MLB picks today, with a focus on the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds clash at the Great American Ball Park.
Expert Betting Preview: Free MLB Picks & Odds Today
Atlanta Braves over Cincinnati Reds: +110 (William Hill)
This should be a game with a ton of runs in Cincinnati tonight. Two mediocre pitchers facing great lineups in fantastic hitting weather could lead to a ton of offense. Drew Smyly has pitched better as of late and gets to face an unknown commodity in Vladimir Gutierrez. Gutierrez has walked way too many guys, struck out too few and has largely gotten around by limiting hard contact. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is a recipe for disaster, however, especially in a park that yields power. Smyly has had good swinging-strike stats all year, and this should be much closer to a Braves-favored line, so getting them at plus odds will be a great bet in the long run.
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Under 10.5 runs: -110 (BetMGM)
It would be prudent to start by saying that these two offenses at Fenway usually screams over. However, two pitchers that limit power and two bullpens full of great arms face off in Boston tonight. Martin Perez is a pitcher that throws a heavy sinker to induce ground balls, and Domingo German is limiting hard contact to a tune of 35.4% this season. While neither of these teams is going to get shut out tonight, a 10.5 total at even odds is far-fetched given the talent of these pitchers and the arms in the bullpen. Taking the under at Fenway is the smart play.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: +270 (William Hill)
This is not a bet for the faint of heart. These odds are simply too big given the matchup. Chris Paddack is a promising right-handed pitcher who has struggled this year. Dealing with injuries, he has given up .428 xSLG, which is too much power for a such a great prospect. Corbin Martin is by no means a good pitcher, but he does not need to do much to limit power in San Diego, where it is only expected to be 70 degrees tonight. The Diamondbacks do not need to win this game that many times to make this bet profitable, and that is what makes it a +EV bet.
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