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Tennis DFS Picks: US Open, Daniil Medvedev and Roger Federer, DraftKings, FanDuel, September 1 (FREE)

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Tennis anyone? Caleb is back with his DFS Tennis Picks for Wimbledon Day 6 for DraftKings and FanDuel. Spoiler: He likes Roger Federer.

We are into the final week of the US Open, and the best of the best will be fighting for the title. The seventh slate of this tennis DFS week has eight matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Daniil Medvedev and Roger Federer, so let’s dive in.

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Daniil Medvedev (DraftKings $10,200; FanDuel $23)

Daniil Medvedev might be the most hated player outside of Nick Kyrgios right now, but nonetheless he is playing out of his mind. Medvedev is currently riding a nine game winning streak, while capturing a title in Cincinnati. He’s fired down 52 aces in his three matches while winning 80% of first serve points, and I think it’ll take a top three player to take him down. Once again the only concern is him possibly cramping again, but he should be fine.

Medvedev will go up against Dominik Koepfer, the ATP world number 118 from Germany. Koepfer has played a ton of tennis so far at the US Open, with three qualifying wins and three main draw wins. He took down two top 50 players back to back to get to this stage, but I think the run ends now. Dominik lost four service games while winning just 50% of service points in his last match against an erratic Nikoloz Basilashvili. That was his lone win and match against a top 20 opponent, and Medvedev will be too much to handle. I expect Daniil to win this match in straight sets.

Roger Federer (DraftKings $10,100; FanDuel $23)

Roger Federer, aka the GOAT, looked like the Roger we know in his last match against Dan Evans. He dismantled the world number 58 6-2 6-2 6-1 while winning 78% of all service points. He looked spectacular on the return end, with 40 points won and converting on seven break point chances. Roger is 22-3 on the hard courts in 2019, and he has a legitimate chance to capture another major title at the US Open.

Roger has a fourth round meeting with David Goffin, the ATP world number 15. Goffin has been nothing short of outstanding over the last two weeks, with a 7-1 record while making a finals run in Cincinnati. While he’s been impressive during this run, his one match against a top 10 opponent was a loss. Federer leads their head to head with an 8-1 record, and if Roger is at full strength, he should have no issue putting this match to bed. The world number three is the superior player in this matchup, and I expect Federer to win in straight sets.

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Alex De Minaur (DraftKings $8,800; FanDuel $18)

Alex De Minaur has played some unreal tennis here at the US Open, as he’s taken down three top 50 players with ease including the world number seven, Kei Nishikori. De Minaur’s defense has been excellent, converting on 21 break points across his three matches. He doesn’t have the best serve out there, but he is consistent enough to win 73% of first serve points. Alex is a hard out since he tries his hardest to chase after every single ball and get it back in play, and it starts to wear down the opponent.

De Minaur will go up against Grigor Dimitrov, the ATP world number 78. Dimitrov was having a tough season on the hard courts before the US Open, with a 9-10 record. His ranking has dropped over 70 ranks in the last two years, and I’m not convinced that he’s found his game once again. Dimitrov dodged a bullet in the second round since Borna Coric withdrew before the match, but nonetheless he has looked solid. Grigor has dropped just one set so far in this tournament, while facing a total of 14 break points in two matches. This is their first head to head matchup, but I think De Minaur has the slight edge given the way he can return serve.

Possible upset/value plays: Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $4,800; FanDuel $10)

Right off the bat, I would not trust this in a cash contest, but it’s worth a look in GPP’s. This has been one of the most anticipated matchups for the last three years, and Stan Wawrinka is looking to pull off the upset. Stan the Man is getting closer and closer to full strength, and I think a matchup like this can get him back on the map. He has had some struggles in this tournament, dropping six service games while getting just 55% of first serves in play. He’s dropped only two sets so far while firing down 58 aces, and if he can get that backhand locked and loaded, his opponent could be in trouble.

Stan has a fourth round blockbuster matchup against Novak Djokovic, the ATP world number one from Serbia. There’s no need to throw around any stats for Novak in this tournament as we all know he’s the best player on the planet and he’s shown it so far. Novak is 20-5 against Wawrinka, however, he hates playing against Stan in major tournaments. Djokovic is just 4-3 against Stan in majors, with Wawrinka winning three of the last four including two finals matches. Three of Novak’s wins in this matchup went to five sets, which shows that he just cannot put Stan away easily. Novak currently has a shoulder injury, although his last opponent wasn’t able to exploit it. It might sound crazy, but given their recent history in these stages and with Novak’s injury, I think Stan can pull this off.

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Best of luck!

Twitter: @CMGCaleb_

Caleb contributes to the tennis coverage at Awesemo.com, providing analysis and picks for some of the top tennis tournaments. Though he specializes in DraftKings' tennis offerings, Caleb's analysis extends to everywhere wise enough to offer tennis daily fantasy sports to the masses. You can contact Caleb by emailing [email protected].

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