Hello, UFC fans. This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Las Vegas, including a Vegas 16 main event between Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori. The main GPP has $100,000 going to first place with a total of $400,000 being paid out. Here I will offer MMA DFS picks for the fighters I feel have the most upside for daily fantasy purposes. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks.
UFC Vegas 16: DraftKings + FanDuel UFC DFS Picks
Core MMA DFS Plays
Jack Hermansson | DraftKings: $8,000, FanDuel $19
Hermansson was originally going to face Darren Till, which was going to be a huge fight that could have moved Hermansson up the rankings. He then was scheduled to face Kevin Holland, but Holland tested positive for COVID-19 and had to withdrawal. So, Hermansson is scheduled to face Marvin Vettori in the main event. Some may say this is a letdown spot, but I expect Hermansson will be ready. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Top Fighters Tool give Hermansson 44.6% win odds with a 34.7% chance of being top 6%.
Ilia Topuria | DraftKings: $9,000, FanDuel: $20
Topuria is an explosive fighter but can be a little wild with his striking. That said, he has made improvements each time out. His overhand is extremely dangerous when landed clean, which can put his opponents to sleep in a hurry. What we need to remember Topuria is just 23 years old and one of the top prospects in the UFC. I expect Topuria to finish Damon Jackson via knockout or submission. The UFC DFS Top Fighter tool gives Topuria 69.2% win odds with a 44.8% chance for a knockout.
Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
Jimmy Flick | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $18
Flick needed just 38 seconds to submit Greg Fischer via choke and claim the LEA flyweight title. His strong grappling and submission skills shined once again on “Contender Series,” where he chocked out unbeaten Nate Smith to seal a UFC contract. Furthermore, 13 of his professional wins have come by submission. Flick is a phenomenal submission artist and is extremely aggressive, but his standup seems limited and mostly used to setup takedowns. The UFC DFS Top Fighter Tool gives Flick 60.8% win odds with a 35.1% chance of being top 6%.
Louis Smolka | DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $15
Smolka will be looking to get back in the win column after getting choked by Casey Kenney back in May. He looked good in his last fight even though he was finished. Furthermore, Smolka came out ripping shots to the body and head of Kenney. Smolka has finished 14 of his 16 wins. I expect Smolka to have the clear striking advantage and should out-box Jose Quinonez on his way to a knockout or unanimous decision victory. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Top Fighter Tool gives Smolka 55.6% win odds with a 30% chance for a knockout.
Value MMA DFS Picks
Justin Jaynes | DraftKings: $7,600, FanDuel: $13
Jaynes is coming off a submission loss against Gavin Tucker back in August. However, Jaynes had Tucker in trouble in the first round, almost finishing him with a guillotine. Jaynes has eight wins by knockout and five by submission. He is live for a knockout or a submission, and by doing so, Jaynes would absolutely break this price of $7,600. I expect this will be an exciting fight because both men are capable of submitting or knocking one another out. The UFC DFS Top Fighters Tool give Jaynes 34% win odds.
Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content.
Looking for more Vegas 16 MMA DFS picks content? We have loads of Vegas 16 articles, data, cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo MMA home page. Just click HERE.
