The UFC is live from the Moody Center in Austin, Texas, after one of the best cards of the year in UFC 275 last weekend. Featherweights Calvin Kattar and Josh Emmett will headline the main event, with the co-main event being a lightweight fight between Donald Cerrone and Joe Lauzon. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s MMA expert projections. Let’s get started and see what’s on tap for UFC Fight Night Austin.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett MMA DFS Picks
Check out all of our free fantasy UFC DFS Picks and projections in our DraftKings UFC DFS Cheat Sheet and FanDuel UFC DFS Cheat Sheet.
Top End UFC Picks
Phil Hawes | DraftKings: $9,000, FanDuel: $23
Hawes will push forward and look to land heavy punches, and he will be content to make his fight night a short affair. He is coming into this matchup off a disappointing loss to Chris Curtis via first-round knockout. Hawes’ crisp punches and explosiveness should take out Deron Winn early in the second round. For UFC DFS lineups today, Hawes is a strong play due to his heavy hands and pure power. Stokastic’s projections give Hawes 71% win odds and a 44% chance for a knockout.
Mid Range UFC Picks
Calvin Kattar | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $17
Kattar is returning to action following his unanimous decision victory over Giga Chikadze in January. He will be the better striker, as he works in volume and can easily pick Josh Emmett apart. Kattar is both taller and longer and he throws more volume than Emmett. For MMA DFS purposes, Kattar is a solid play with a high ceiling due to his volume and his finishing abilities. Stokastic’s projections give him 68% win odds and a 31% chance for a knockout.
Kyle Daukaus | DraftKings: $8,700, FanDuel: $17
Daukaus will push the pace early and bring heavy pressure while looking to test Roman Dolidze’s cardio early. He is a skillful and intelligent fighter who has recently put his whole game together and can end his opponent’s night in a hurry. Daukaus should land the takedown and wear on Dolidze early by finding the neck on his way to another submission win. Daukaus is a solid play in all formats, and Stokastic’s projections give Daukaus 70% win odds.
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UFC Value Picks
Julian Marquez | DraftKings: $7,700, FanDuel: $8
Marquez defeated Sam Alvey via submission in his last fight in April 2021. This is a tough matchup for Marquez against Gregory Rodrigues, but Marquez will test the cardio weakness of Rodrigues and find the finish late. Marquez could pay off his salary nicely with a finish. Stokastic’s ownership projections have Marquez at 13.9%, and he could be a good way to get leverage over the field in DFS lineups. Stokastic’s projections give Marquez 37% win odds.
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