NBA Player Props PrizePicks: Slow-Paced Raptors-Nuggets Game (March 6)

PrizePicks NBA player props have become increasingly popular over the last few years and for good reason. The ability to bet on individual player performances in specific categories like points, rebounds and assists allows bettors to home in on specific matchups and take advantage of betting lines that may be off. In this article, we will be breaking down some of the top NBA player props for March 6, utilizing Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool.

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PrizePicks NBA Player Props | March 6

Joel Embiid Over 32.5 Points

Embiid is projected for 35.2 points, so there is some great value in this pick. The Pacers defense is not very good, and they play relatively quickly, both of which benefit Embiid. But the real reason to like this pick is the possibility that Tobias Harris and P.J. Tucker might be missing from the 76ers rotation. If that happens, Embiid will have even more usage in the 37% to 38% range. The environment, defensive matchup and the possibility that he will take more shots all look great here.

Bam Adebayo Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

The line is set at 31.5 but projects at 36, which is a great value. Adebayo should get a bunch of rebounds against an Atlanta team that is slightly below average in rebounding. The Hawks are basically average on the offensive glass and a little bit below average on defense, so the matchup is good from that point of view. Adebayo will likely play 35 minutes or more, and he will be out there soaking up as much playing time as he can. The Heat do not want to play Cody Zeller all that much, so if Adebayo can soak up 36 minutes, even better. There is a lot of wiggle room on this prop, and it would not be a surprise to see it climb slightly throughout the day.

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Jamal Murray Under 6.5 Assists

Murray projects for 5.2 assists, which is well below this mark. This is a matchup where both teams play slowly, so there will be reduced possessions in general. In this game environment, where everyone is in for the Nuggets, there is not going to be as much assist work for Murray. One guy needs to be off the floor because so much runs through Nikola Jokic. Ultimately, a slow-paced game and a guy with a high assist mark do not fit together.

Update: Michael Porter Jr. has been downgraded to questionable.

O.G. Anunoby Over 1.5 Free Throws Made

Anunoby is averaging 2.4 made free throws per game, making this line of 1.5 an excellent opportunity to take advantage. All he needs to do is make two free throws to hit the over, and that is below his season average. The line should realistically be set at two, making this an excellent spot to take advantage of the hook.

Fred VanVleet Under 19.5 Points

The Raptors are now at full strength from a health perspective, providing them with multiple options on the court. VanVleet is projected for 18.4 points in this matchup, making the under on 19.5 points an excellent opportunity. This game environment is a slow-paced matchup, with both teams in the bottom half of the league in pace. When reducing the possessions like that, the scoring is limited, making VanVleet’s over-projection seem like a little too much. The Raptors have many other options like Pascal Siakam, Anunoby, Scottie Barnes and Gary Trent Jr., making this an ideal spot to bet on the under.

Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].