NBA Player Props NHA: Domantas Sabonis Lines Reaching Limit (March 6)

No House Advantage‘s Vs. The House offers some of the best NBA player props available and today we’re breaking down four of the top picks available on their platform. We’ll discuss the reasoning behind each pick, the current line and why we believe they offer value for your NBA player prop wagers.

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NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 Assists

This line is currently the top-ranked prop on No House Advantage and offers a likelihood of over 60% to hit. While Jokic is capable of racking up assists, this line projects at 8.8, which is significantly lower than the current over/under. There are no injury concerns for the Nuggets right now, and with Jamal Murray back in the lineup, Jokic’s assist rate should be slightly lower. Additionally, the matchup against Toronto is relatively slow and defensive, which should limit possessions in the game.

Domantas Sabonis Under 7.5 Assists

While the over on Sabonis rebounds is a decent play, we’re focusing on the under for his assists. The current line is set at 7.5, but he projects 6.7. This is the second-ranked prop on No House Advantage, and it offers excellent value. Sabonis is coming off a game where he racked up a lot of assists, but he will not hit this number in tonight’s matchup.

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Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Rebounds

Herro is averaging 5.6 rebounds per game this season, and the line is set at 4.5 rebounds for the Hawks-Heat matchup. The projection for Herro is 5.3 rebounds, so it makes little sense why the line is so low. The matchup is decent for rebounding, making this pick even more attractive. Even if it were a neutral matchup, Herro still gets more rebounds than this on a daily basis. This line is expected to increase, so get it now while it’s at 4.5 rebounds.

C.J. McCollum Under 23.5 Points

McCollum is averaging 21.1 points per game this season, and the line is set at 23.5 points for the Pelicans-Kings matchup. Although the Kings defense is weak and there is a slight pace-up spot for the Pelicans, this may not be enough to offset McCollum’s average points. Even with Zion Williamson not playing, the bump for McCollum is not as big as one might think. McCollum’s usage does not significantly change with Williamson around. This line may be a full point too high, and if it were at 22.5 points, it probably wouldn’t be discussed. However, with the line at 23.5 points, there is enough of a spread to make it an attractive pick.

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Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].