NBA Player Props: Fade Nikola Jokic's Scoring (May 22)

The Los Angeles Lakers, after knocking off the higher-seeded Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors, are on the brink of exiting the playoffs. Plenty of NBA player prop markets have value for this one, especially since half the players on the floor will go home with a loss. With elimination on the line for Game 4, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Nikola Jokic player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Monday’s playoff action.

React App

Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Nuggets-Lakers Game 4

Aaron Gordon Prop O/U 2.5 Assists

The Denver Nuggets can send the Los Angeles Lakers home with a win in Game 4. Even if they get there, it’s unlikely that power forward Aaron Gordon will go over the prop total for his assists. Gordon averaged three assists per game in the regular season but is averaging 2.3 per game in the postseason.

Gordon should dish out only 1.5 assists tonight, per NBA Bet Pro, which slots in well below the 2.5 the books project him for. That makes the under a fantastic investment for Game 4. With BetRivers selling it at -115 (53.5%), we’re getting plenty of value relative to the expected win rate of 60%.

Few books have the under priced so generously. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has it at -150. FanDuel has it priced at -122. Readers yet to register at BetRivers can get a second-chance bet worth up to $500!

Best NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon Under 2.5 Assists -115 at BetRivers

Latest NBA DFS Content

Nikola Jokic Prop O/U 27.5 Points

Another player who may struggle as the Los Angeles Lakers put up a fight with their backs against the wall is Nikola Jokic. The superstar center averaged only 24.5 points per game in the regular season. Although he is averaging 29.9 points per game in the playoffs, that number ticks down to 27 when looking at just this series.

The Lakers sold out to defend Jokic early in Game 4. Although the strategy didn’t culminate in a win, they have certainly shown much more defensive aggression since Game 1. NBA Bet Pro has Jokic scoring only 25.9 points tonight, which gives the under an expected win rate of 53%.

Readers eager to exploit more mispriced NBA player props should know that plenty of other props are popping on NBA Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!

Best NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points -108 at Caesars

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.