With a plethora of high-total games this week, finding value in your NFL DFS lineups will be crucial. Cheap players that still provide reasonable upside will be the key to allowing you to fit in the best players. This article digs into the cheap players in the Awesemo NFL DFS projections that rate out best points per dollar. Using those projections, here are the top Week 3 NFL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
Best Low-Priced NFL DFS Value Picks for Week 3
FanDuel Value Quarterback – Justin Fields $6,500
With an injury to Andy Dalton, Fields is being thrust into a starting role sooner than expected. Since the news broke that Fields would be starting well after DFS sites released their pricing, Fields is a stark value this week. Awesemo’s ownership projections have him at a very reasonable 1.6%, although that could change throughout the week. Fields was impressive in the preseason, and his rushing upside gives him a high ceiling. While it is not the softest landing spot against the Browns defensive line, some pressure on Fields might be a good thing. Forcing him out of the pocket could easily lead to more rushing production.
DraftKings Value Quarterback – Daniel Jones: $5,800
Jones is tied with Josh Allen for the best value in Awesemo’s projections, at 3.79 points per $1,000 of salary. Everything is lining up nicely for Jones this week against the Falcons. Atlanta is playing at the fourth-fastest situation-neutral pace this season and is one of the league’s worst defenses, allowing 40 points per game. Most importantly, Jones has been getting it done with his legs. He has turned 15 rush attempts into 122 yards and two touchdowns already this year. His rushing production provides both a floor and a high ceiling. He will not run for a touchdown every week this season, but he should be more efficient through the air this week.
FanDuel Value Running Back – Saquon Barkley: $6,000
While he is on the edge of being considered a low-priced play this week, Barkley has Awesemo’s highest value score on FanDuel. After a disappointing start to the season, Barkley is the cheapest on FanDuel he has been in his career. He is only scored 11.1 FanDuel points over the first two weeks, but it is not time to panic yet. He faced much tougher defenses (Denver and Washington) than he is facing this week in Atlanta. He also might not have been 100% healthy to start the season. It seems as if the Giants are easing him back into a full workload — he played on less than 50% of snaps in week 1 but 85% of them last week. Barkley should be getting close to his pre-injury workhorse role, but he is priced well below that this week.
DraftKings Value Running Back – Mike Davis: $5,100
Like Barkley, Davis’ price is too cheap for his role. In addition to his rushing contributions, he has functioned as the Falcons third option in the passing game this year, with 13 targets. With yet another negative game script (the Falcons are 3-point underdogs), there should be plenty of passing to go around. Wide receiver Russell Gage, who drew seven targets last week, is out, which could also lead to more targets for Davis. With DraftKings having full-PPR scoring, his receiving role is especially valuable. He also projects to improve upon his rushing efficiency — the Giants are 30th in the league in DVOA against the rush.
FanDuel Value Wide Receiver – Van Jefferson $4,900
The game between the Rams and the Buccaneers has a slate-leading 55.5 total this week, so it is important to have exposure to it, and Jefferson is fourth in Awesemo’s value projections. He has only seen three targets in each of the Rams first two games, but the Rams have yet to top 30 passes. This week, against a Buccaneers team that is far easier to attack through the air, there should be more targets to go around. Starting running back Darrell Henderson is also banged up, furthering the case for the Rams passing attack. Jefferson is averaging an unsustainable 31.33 yards per catch, but it speaks to the type of deep looks he is seeing. That type of role can pay off in a big way if the Rams throw the ball more this week.
DraftKings Value Wide Receiver – K.J. Osborn $3,500
DraftKings seems to have missed the fact that the Vikings are utilizing three wide receivers now. Osborn has 15 targets already this year, which he has turned into 12 catches for 166 yards and a touchdown across two games. This week he is playing in a game with a 55-point over/under, second best on the slate. Anytime such a large piece of the pie is only $3,500, it is a good idea to roster said piece. It is a struggle from a salary standpoint to include all of the top receivers from the Vikings and Seahawks, so Osborn provides exposure to this scoring environment at a deep discount. He is also projected to come in at under 10% ownership, so he provides leverage to go with his scoring value.
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