Jayson Tatum NBA Player Props | FREE Expert Betting Picks & Predictions

The lone nationally televised NBA matchup tonight is certainly a good one. Despite the drastically different seasons the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics have had thus far, the teams are somehow only separated by 6.5 games coming into Monday’s contest. While the Heat will aim to extend their lead in the Eastern Conference standings, the Celtics need to stack wins if they hope to avoid the play-in games. The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Heat vs. Celtics matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for Boston superstar, Jayson Tatum.

With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Jayson Tatum in tonight’s matchup.

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Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Jayson Tatum

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Tatum props below.

Under 26.5 Points (-110, DraftKings)

Over the past week, Jayson Tatum has done much more than exceed his scoring average of 26.2 points per game. In fact, he has cleared it by basically 10 points minimum in three of the last four games. Most recently, Tatum dropped 38 points on Saturday. That performance came just five days after he dropped 51 on Washington while shooting 18-28 from the field. That being said, the Wizards are a far cry defensively compared to the Heat team that Tatum and the Celtics must contend with tonight. Miami enters the day ranked sixth in defensive efficiency this season. For what it is worth, Miami’s average of 105.3 points allowed per 100 possessions is over four fewer than what Washington has allowed to date.

Given the difficult matchup and the likelihood of general regression compared to his recent performances, there are multiple reasons to like the under on Tatum’s NBA player props point total of 26.5. OddsShopper currently reveals varying amounts of juice in that direction with optimal -110 odds offering a ten-cent advantage over other prices in the market. Awesemo’s exact projection of 24.38 points produces a 15% ROI value when paired with the preferred price.

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Over 7.5 Rebounds (+106, FanDuel)

It is interesting to see the NBA player props line for total Tatum rebounds tonight sitting nearly one full board below his season average. While he fell shy of the 8.4 rebounds he has corralled per game on Saturday, the eight that he accumulated did finish over tonight’s NBA betting line of 7.5. Going back over the last nine games, Tatum has now exceeded that mark six times. While tonight serves as a difficult test given Miami’s strong rebounding numbers, OddsShopper shows that the pricing for this prop has gotten a bit out of control.

While the general consensus lean of the market is to the under, this has created plus-money odds in the other direction at several sportsbooks. Meanwhile, some books are juiced significantly in either direction. Thus, the best price of +106 offers nearly 20 cents of value over alternative listings. While Awesemo’s projections do not have a large statistical edge on this prop, the plus-money odds helped boost the ROI to 8%.

Under 4.5 Assists (-145, Caesars)

The assists prop for Tatum in tonight’s game is interesting given the discrepancies shown in the NBA betting market. OddsShopper currently lists multiple sportsbooks offering this prop over/under at 4.5 assists while others sit at 3.5. While Tatum has topped both of those lines in four of the last five games, we again run into the dilemma that is the stingy Heat defense. Awesemo only projects Tatum to finish with 3.98 helpers tonight, thus creating a 63% win probability for under 4.5 to hit. Unfortunately, the juiced odds sap the expected ROI value to an extent, but bettors can still score a positive margin. At a -145 price point, this under prediction is listed with a 7% ROI.

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