We start the shortened work week with a 15-game onslaught delivering a sizeable assortment of value to select upon in determining our MLB prop bets today. Given some intriguing matchups featuring lesser knowns on the mound, the hitting props for Tuesday offer plentiful returns for the taking. With the ability to parse our best odds available for any betting line at OddsShopper the Stokastic Player Props Tool (updated in the mid mornings) aids with cross references to backing our strikeout and home run props by projecting the best returns and winning odds in reach. The summer weather is out in full force as an early look at the national forecast allows breathing room in our betting selections as we’re in store for no potential weather delays to start off the week.
Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/5
Ryan Mountcastle O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Ryan Mountcastle has a .277 batting average and .219 ISO while garnering a 1.5 total bases prop rewarding +115 odds on the over. Tonight, Mouncastle faces Spencer Howard, who makes his first start since late April with a .333 average against and 1.8 WHIP. In limited sample size against right-handed hitting this year Howard has relinquished a .435 average against, 12.46 home runs per nine innings, and 17.65 FIP allowing nine home runs to the split in just three appearances. Mountcastle has been on a tear while effectively hitting right-handed pitching with a .270 batting average, .801 OPS, and .221 ISO with 11 of 14 home runs coming against righty pitchers. Seizing a plus money opportunity on Mountcastle to secure two bases on hits in a delectable matchup becomes one of the best MLB betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Ryan Mountcastle OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
**UPDATE (2:10 pm PDT): With Mr. Mountcastle granted a day off this evening, we turn to Anthony Santander at +130 odds on the over of 1.5 total bases. Facing right-handed pitching this year Santander has a .235 batting average, .750 OPS, and .191 ISO that’s an added punch against a susceptible hard-contact candidate. Also benefited from a sub-20% strikeout rate against the split, Santander has 11 of his 15 home runs this season rewarded on behalf of opposing righties with tonight’s target carrying a distinct bullseye intact. Fire away on the 30% increase on even money odds and snag the over on Santander’s 1.5 total bases.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Anthony Santander OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Check out Ben Rasa’s best MLB bets today. See why Ben is targeting the Guardians vs. Tigers game with his MLB prediction today.
Nick Pivetta O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Nick Pivetta has some surprising success this season and faces the strikeout happy Tampa Bay Rays with a 4.5 total strikeout prop rewarding -155 odds on the over. Pivetta has averaged just under six innings pitched per start with 0.96 strikeouts per inning, putting him on pace for 5.76 strikeouts tonight should he last his typical mound tenure. Pivetta is backed by Tampa’s 25.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching and expected to face five Rays hitters with upward of a 26% strikeout rate against righties. Pivetta has secured a minimum of five strikeouts in four of his last six starts, including 10 strikeouts against a formidable Cardinals roster and 11 strikeouts against the Angels. Though the Rays have seen shimmers of success at the plate of recently, the strikeouts remain intact while Pivetta’s prop offers an attainable total despite the unsavory house juice.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Nick Pivetta OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (-155)
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Evan Longoria O/U 0.5 Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Evan Longoria has been a lighting bolt against left-handed pitching as he faces Tyler Gilbert tonight with an 0.5 total home runs prop rewarding +320 odds on the over. Gilbert has a .258 average against, 1.44 WHIP, and 3.94 HR/9 with 46.2% hard contact surrendered through four games pitched this season. Yet facing right-handed hitting Gilbert has been rocked to the tune of a .326 average against, 1.78 WHIP, and 10.33 FIP with six of seven home runs allowed against the split. Longoria has been effective against left-handed pitching with a .294 batting average, .849 OPS, and .216 ISO with three of his eight home runs coming against lefties. We nailed Lindor at +330 on the Fourth of July while another dart toss at Longoria’s +320 odds to put one in the seats in a welcoming matchup starts the week off with a splash.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Evan Longoria OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Nico Hoerner O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Nico Hoerner has a .310 batting average and .773 OPS while drawing a 1.5 total bases prop rewarding +125 odds on the over against Jason Alexander. Hoener has demonstrated consistency with 21 hits in his last 12 games, including three doubles and a home run. Facing right-handed pitching this season, Hoerner has a .313 batting average, .783 OPS, and 117 wRC+ including all four home runs coming against the split. Alexander has yet to find his stride with a .313 average against, 1.53 WHIP, and just an 8.5% strikeout rate against right-handed hitting while allowing 42.2% hard contact in seven games this season. With Alexander allowing 18 hits in his past four games, the significant plus-money odds on Hoerner to get back on his hitting streak with two bases on hits melds for another of the best baseball betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
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