This is it. There is just one more day of action on the diamond before the Midsummer Classic’s three-day run. The games are spread throughout the day, leaving solid value with these series coming to a close. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the goal here is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Six outs are all that’s needed to cash these tickets, so no more waiting through an entire game! Here are the top value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Sunday, July 17.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/16
Phillies vs. Marlins Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Phillies on average have struggled to score first inning runs this year away from Citizens Bank Park. The differences in today’s matchup are the Marlins, their starter in Trevor Rogers and a Phillies offense that’s now top 10 in runs scored. Rogers is having an awful second season and is even worse in his career against the Phillies, with a 7.26 ERA over seven starts. Aaron Nola is on a little downslope this month, with a combined ERA of just under 5.00 over two starts. If there’s ever a chance for Miami to get to Nola in the first inning, it’s today, as Rogers is facing one of the worst situations across the entire slate.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Phillies vs. Marlins YRFI (+130 BetMGM)
Brewers vs. Giants Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
This was one of the winners in yesterday’s column, and based on the pitching matchup compared to the rest of the slate, it’s a solid place to return. The Giants remain one of the toughest teams to score against in the first inning at home, giving up just 0.28 runs per first inning (RPFI) at San Francisco. The Giants go from Alex Cobb last night to Logan Webb tonight, who has better numbers and is tougher to score against at home. Failing to score in the first last night once again, the Brewers average just 0.37 RPFI on the road. They do have Aaron Ashby on the hill, who has struggled but has only given up a run in the first in 3 of his 12 road starts this season.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Brewers vs. Giants NRFI (-140 BetMGM)
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Athletics vs. Astros Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Yesterday’s game went as expected with such a mismatch of bad talent on the Athletics against really good starting pitching. Jake Odorizzi isn’t great, but he’s pitched to a 3.38 ERA and 17.7% strikeout rate. That is certainly enough to handle whatever mediocre lineup Oakland is preparing for today. They aren’t terrible when it comes to scoring runs on the road, averaging 0.47 RPFI away from Oakland, but facing better pitching has kept them scoreless over their last three games. Houston is averaging 0.59 RPFI at home and faces a favorable matchup in James Kaprielian, with an ERA just over 5.00 and a strikeout rate of 15.2%. It’s going to be hard for the A’s to do anything at the plate, but they could easily fall victim to some early scoring chances. This is a -110/-110 play on whether or not the Astros score.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Athletics vs. Astros YRFI (-110 BetMGM)
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