UFC DFS Picks Today: UFC 276 Adesanya vs. Cannonier DraftKings Picks

The Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway trilogy concludes this weekend at UFC 276, live from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Headlining the main event is Israel Adesanya vs. Jared Cannonier in a middleweight title fight. Below are some UFC DFS picks and analyses with the help of Stokastic’s projections. Be sure to check out all of Stokastic’s UFC 276 betting picks and fight predictions before finding all of the best fight odds over at OddsShopper. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC 276.

MMA DFS Picks: UFC 276 Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Jim Miller $8,700 vs. Donald Cerrone $7,500

Jim Miller

Age: 38
Height: 5-foot-8
Weight: 155 lbs.
Reach: 71 ins
Record: 34-16-0
Striking Accuracy: 50%
Betting Odds: -210

Miller is a crafty submission specialist with big power in his hands who will stand toe to toe with other fighters. His left hook is powerful enough to drop his opponent and finish him. Then, if the standup exchanges begin to tilt in his opponents favor, Miller will push forward, engage the clinch or shoot for a takedown. He will bring smothering pressure while always looking for a submission. The one weakness Miller has shown throughout his career is his cardio; if Miller cannot find the finish within the eight-minute mark, his gas tank will empty and his opponent will have the opportunity to take over the fight.

Donald Cerrone

Age: 39
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 155 lbs.
Reach: 73 ins
Record: 36-16-0
Striking Accuracy: 49%
Betting Odds: +162

Cerrone used to be an aggressive but extremely calculated wild man in the octagon who was more than happy to stand and bang. However, current Cerrone has been on a skid, going 0-5-1 in his last six fights. His biggest weakness throughout his career has been his tendency to start fights slowly and take a lot of damage early. Cerrone has shown over his last several fights that his midsection has become vulnerable, making it easy for his opponents to do damage with body shots. The question for Cerrone is, does he have the durability to survive Miller’s smothering pressure early without getting hurt? If he can, Cerrone could take over late to grind out a decision or find a finish.

The lean on DraftKings and FanDuel MMA is Miller. This fight will be closer than the odds suggest, but Miller can hurt Cerrone early and find the finish in the late first or early second.

UFC DFS Pick: Jim Miller via Second-Round Submission

Pedro Munhoz $6,900 vs. Sean O’Malley $9,300

Pedro Munhoz

Age: 35
Height: 5-foot-6
Weight: 135 lbs.
Reach: 65 ins.
Record: 19-7-0
Striking Accuracy: 46%
Betting Odds: +255

Munhoz is a veteran of the bantamweight division. He has power in his hands and is willing to take a shot to land his dangerous combinations. Munhoz’s durability is insane; regardless of the strikes that he takes, he will keep pressing forward. He will use nasty calf kicks to damage his opponents, then throw dangerous and powerful combinations that can send his opponents to the mat. Munhoz will need to pressure O’Malley and force an all-out brawl to have a chance at victory.

Sean O’Malley

Age: 27
Height: 5-foot-11
Weight: 135 lbs.
Reach: 72 ins.
Record: 15-1-0
Striking Accuracy: 63%
Betting Odds: -350

O’Malley is a technical striker with fast hands and huge power for a bantamweight. He will throw heavy bombs with pinpoint accuracy that can end his opponent’s night in a hurry. O’Malley has solid kickboxing and will mix in a wide variety of attacks form either stance. He is extremely good at changing stances to create angles and avoid counter strikes. His footwork and head movement are on point, and they make his opponents struggle to find their range and overcommit, allowing O’Malley to land power counters.

O’Malley’s footwork, head movement, speed and pinpoint accuracy will be too technical for Munhoz. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections agree, ranking O’Malley fourth on the slate.

UFC DFS Pick: Sean O’Malley via Unanimous Decision

Alexander Volkanovski $9,000 vs. Max Holloway $7,200

Alexander Volkanovski

Age: 33
Height: 5-foot-6
Weight: 145 lbs.
Reach: 71.5 ins.
Record: 24-1-0
Striking Accuracy: 59%
Betting Odds: -215

Volkanovski has already recorded two wins against Max Holloway, with the first being a unanimous decision victory in 2019 and the second a spilt decision victory back in 2020. Volkanovski is coming off his third successful defense of the featherweight title after a dominating performance over The Korean Zombie in April. In that fight, Volkanovski took The Korean Zombie down four times and had an impressive 138-48 edge in significant strikes before the fight was stopped in the fourth round due to punches. Volkanovski has not lost since 2013, winning 21 straight fights. He is making a strong case to be considered the greatest featherweight of all time.

Max Holloway

Age: 30
Height: 5-foot-11
Weight: 145 lbs.
Reach: 69 ins.
Record: 23-6-0
Striking Accuracy: 49%
Betting Odds: +164

Holloway has bounced back nicely from the defeats to Volkanovski, with a pair of unanimous decision victories against Yair Rodriguez and Calvin Katter. His performance in the second fight with Volkanovski was a vast improvement from the first one. Holloway has been working hard to regain his title for almost two years now. His goal is to stake his claim as the best featherweight of the era, but if he has a third loss to Volkanovski, that goal will be extremely difficult to achieve.

The pick on DraftKings and FanDuel is Volkanovski. This will likely be another high-octane, high-volume chess match with Volkanovski coming out victorious once again. Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections rank Volkanovski second overall on this slate.

UFC DFS Pick: Alexander Volkanovski via. Unanimous Decision

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Israel Adesanya $9,400 vs. Jared Cannonier $6,800

Israel Adesanya

Age: 32
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 185 lbs.
Reach: 80 ins.
Record: 22-1-0
Striking Accuracy: 53%
Betting Odds: -520

Many regard Adesanya as one of the top fighters in mixed martial arts today. He is a high-level striker with speed, footwork, head movement and feints that force his opponents into awkward positions. Adesanya will need use his kicks and straight right hand to slow down the pressure style that Jared Cannonier will be bring to the Octagon. If Adesanya can land something early that rocks Cannonier, he could possibly negate the walk-down style of Cannonier. Accuracy will be a key role in this fight for Adesanya, as Cannonier is extremely durable and usually offers little to no opening for his opponent.

Jared Cannonier

Age: 38
Height: 5-foot-11
Weight: 185 lbs.
Reach: 77.5 ins.
Record: 15-5-0
Striking Accuracy: 54%
Betting Odds: +350

Cannonier is a counter striker and will look to bait his opponent into leaving the pocket. Then, as they back up, Cannonier will throw insane head kicks that can put his opponents lights out in the blink of an eye. Cannonier has been in Adesanya’s sights for some time since Cannonier remains one of the most dangerous middleweights, with four of his last five wins coming via knockout. He is coming off an impressive second-round knockout over Derek Brunson at UFC 271. Cannonier is an explosive striker with huge knockout power in his hands, and he will look to attack Adesanya with powerful leg kicks and smothering pressure.

The lean on DraftKings and FanDuel is Adesanya. His high-level striking, speed, footwork and accuracy will be too technical for Cannonier. Stokastic’s UFC projections have Adesanya as the top projected fighter on the slate, with 80% win odds and 102 projected points on DraftKings.

UFC DFS Pick: Israel Adesanya via Unanimous Decision

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