The NBA will return to TNT for an exciting pair of games: the Knicks and Celtics will square off early, then the Mavericks and Suns will do battle late. But with four other games on the NBA betting card to dive into, even the best bettors may let the sharpest player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Julius Randle prop.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Thursday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 26
Julius Randle Prop O/U 12.5 Rebounds
The New York Knicks will face off against the Boston Celtics tonight. They won’t have starting center Mitchell Robinson, and the books have gassed up his prop totals as a result. However, the NBA Bet Pro model isn’t jumping on Randle’s overs with him sidelined. Randle is averaging 10.9 rebounds per game but 13.7 since Robinson first went down.
The NBA Bet Pro model has Randle coming down with 10.7 rebounds in this spot, which is much more in line with his average production. That gives this play an expected hit rate of 62%, which is far better than the implied odds of 57.5% available at PointsBet. This play is one of four on tonight’s card with double-digit EV. Bettors can find the others by signing up for NBA Bet Pro — those who sign up now can secure a lower price point than the one available next month.
Best NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle Under 12.5 Rebounds (-135) at PointsBet
Jaden Ivey Prop O/U 15.5 Points
The Detroit Pistons have a tough matchup against the Brooklyn Nets tonight, but that shouldn’t stop guard Jaden Ivey from doing some damage — especially if Isaiah Livers or Isaiah Stewart have to sit this one out. Ivey is averaging 15.1 points per game this year and 15.8 over his last five. He beat this number in three of those games as well.
According to NBA Bet Pro, Ivey should rack up 17.1 points against the Nets. That gives this play an expected win rate of 52%, slightly better than its implied odds of 51.2%. Bettors should head to BetMGM to secure a winning deal. Users yet to register at BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jaden Ivey Over 15.5 Points (-105) at BetMGM
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Luka Doncic Prop O/U 8.5 Assists
Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks have an interesting road matchup against the Phoenix Suns on tap. The Suns remain without superstar shooting guard Devin Booker, but Doncic won’t have his best center, Christian Wood. Maxi Kleber also remains sidelined. Their absences will make it difficult for him to find efficient players to target when passing.
Doncic is averaging 8.6 assists per game, slightly above this total, but the matchup and injuries make backing the under a sharp play. NBA Bet Pro projects Doncic for only 7.5 assists tonight, giving this play a win rate of 55% — far better than the implied odds of 50% available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Users yet to register at DraftKings can become eligible for $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager.
Best NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Assists (+100) at DraftKings
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