In NBA DFS it is not as simple as rostering who the best play is. It’s imperative to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, it provides odds to help navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting, according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | April 23
NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom CandidatesÂ
Brandon Goodwin vs. Heat: $3,400 DraftKings/$5,000 FanDuel
33% DraftKings Boom/9.4% FanDuel Boom
This is not a situation the Hawks wanted. Heading into their most important game of the season, Trae Young is out because of an ankle injury. He suffered a Grade 2 sprain on Wednesday and is out indefinitely. This leaves Atlanta short-handed playing against the Heat, and Atlanta loses its lead in the division if Miami wins this game. To make matters worse, Danilo Gallinari and Clint Capela are both questionable to play. This is going to make the Hawks much more reliant on Goodwin than they would like. He is going to have to start at point guard, making him the top value play of the day on DraftKings. Goodwin has made three starts this season, and he is averaging 29.58 DraftKings points in the role.
Raul Neto vs. Thunder: $3,400 DraftKings/$3,600 FanDuel
29.2% DraftKings Boom/35.1% FanDuel Boom
The Wizards will finish the season short on depth. Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal will always carry the bulk of the offense, but there is a big minutes gap to fill since Rui Hachimura and Deni Avdija are both injured. Avdija is out for the season after suffering a gruesome ankle injury earlier in the week. This is going to force Neto into the starting lineup. He surprisingly started on Wednesday with the Wizards going to a three-guard lineup against the Warriors. Neto played 36 minutes and scored 34.25 DraftKings points in the win. This was likely a strong enough performance to keep his minutes up going forward.
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Paul George vs. Rockets: $9,300 DraftKings/$9,400 FanDuel
20.7% DraftKings Boom/25.5% FanDuel Boom
Once again, Kawhi Leonard is out with a foot injury, which leaves George as the sole All-Star in the Clippers’ lineup. Leonard is probably not seriously hurt, but the Clippers are in the middle of an easy stretch of the schedule, so it made sense to give their star some time off. In the meantime, Los Angeles has a great matchup against the Rockets, and George is going to get tasked with extra usage. When Leonard is off the court this season, George has a 35.4% usage rate and scores 48.54 DraftKings points per 36 minutes.
NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
Kyle Anderson vs. Trail Blazers: $6,100 DraftKings/$6,300 FanDuel
73.4% DraftKings Bust/63.7% FanDuel Bust
Jonas Valanciunas remains out for the Grizzlies because of a concussion. However, this team is still getting a bit healthier overall. Jaren Jackson Jr. is back in action after missing the entire season after offseason knee surgery, and Justise Winslow is also going to play after missing time. In his first game of the season, Jackson only played 18 minutes, but he looked healthy and scored 33.5 DraftKings points. He is going to play a sizable role for the Grizzlies down the stretch, and this is going to cut into Anderson’s playing time and usage.
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