The NBA Finals are right around the corner. The Denver Nuggets just swept the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Miami Heat have a chance to do the same thing against the Boston Celtics tonight. With elimination on the line for Game 4, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jaylen Brown player prop.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Tuesday’s playoff action.
Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Celtics-Heat Game 4
Derrick White Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers
Although Derrick White has occasionally given the Boston Celtics some splash, his usage is too low not to fade him on this market tonight. Sure, White has hit at least three treys in each game of this series, but he is playing only 23 minutes per game. He has almost no margin for error.
White should rack up only 1.6 3-pointers tonight as the Celtics ride with their big guns in a do-or-die Game 4. While projection slots in below his playoff (2.3) and regular season (1.8) per-game averages, he can’t keep shooting 56.3% from deep for this entire series.
Bettors can find the best deal on the under at BetRivers, where it is priced at only -167 (62.5%). The under has an expected win rate of 68%, so we’re getting quite a bit of edge relative to the market. If you haven’t signed up for BetRivers, you can get a second-chance bet worth up to $500!
Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Under 2.5 3-Pointers -167 at BetRivers
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Jaylen Brown Prop O/U 3.5 Assists
Jaylen Brown doesn’t excel at setting up his teammates. He averaged only 3.5 assists per game in the regular season and 3.4 in the postseason. That rate has ticked down to 3.3 this series. He beat this number once in Boston but recorded only two assists in Game 3.
Let’s keep fading Brown in the assist column tonight. The under has an expected win rate of 54%, which is better than the -110 (51.9%) we can buy at DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s take advantage of this bet at the best price on the market.
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Best NBA Player Prop: Jaylen Brown Under 3.5 Assists -110 at DraftKings