NBA Player Props: Fade Jaylen Brown's Passing (May 23)

The NBA Finals are right around the corner. The Denver Nuggets just swept the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Miami Heat have a chance to do the same thing against the Boston Celtics tonight. With elimination on the line for Game 4, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jaylen Brown player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product. The free trial promotion ends today!

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Tuesday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Celtics-Heat Game 4

Derrick White Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers

Although Derrick White has occasionally given the Boston Celtics some splash, his usage is too low not to fade him on this market tonight. Sure, White has hit at least three treys in each game of this series, but he is playing only 23 minutes per game. He has almost no margin for error.

White should rack up only 1.6 3-pointers tonight as the Celtics ride with their big guns in a do-or-die Game 4. While projection slots in below his playoff (2.3) and regular season (1.8) per-game averages, he can’t keep shooting 56.3% from deep for this entire series.

Bettors can find the best deal on the under at BetRivers, where it is priced at only -167 (62.5%). The under has an expected win rate of 68%, so we’re getting quite a bit of edge relative to the market. If you haven’t signed up for BetRivers, you can get a second-chance bet worth up to $500!

Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Under 2.5 3-Pointers -167 at BetRivers

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Jaylen Brown Prop O/U 3.5 Assists

Jaylen Brown doesn’t excel at setting up his teammates. He averaged only 3.5 assists per game in the regular season and 3.4 in the postseason. That rate has ticked down to 3.3 this series. He beat this number once in Boston but recorded only two assists in Game 3.

Let’s keep fading Brown in the assist column tonight. The under has an expected win rate of 54%, which is better than the -110 (51.9%) we can buy at DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s take advantage of this bet at the best price on the market.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA player props, plenty of other props are popping on NBA Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jaylen Brown Under 3.5 Assists -110 at DraftKings

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.