PrizePicks NBA Player Projections: Closeout Jimmy Butler on the Way (May 23)

On this NBA Tuesday, the Heat are one game away from eliminating the Celtics and heading to the NBA Finals. This game has some exciting opportunities for NBA PrizePicks, and we’ll employ Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro to uncover the two best NBA PrizePicks for May 23.

Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

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NBA Player PrizePicks | May 23

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Jaylen Brown More Than 36.0 Fantasy Points

This play lost two days ago, but there is no reason not to go back to it tonight — 36 fantasy points is simply the wrong projection. It has been repeated to death the last few weeks; in the playoffs, projections are not matching what the game script dictates is more likely to happen. Miami is a 1.5-point favorite, this game is expected to be competitive, and Brown is obviously going to play 40 minutes in a competitive matchup. He may even get upwards of 44 minutes.

If the Celtics do not win today, they go home. They are going to throw Brown at everything he can handle, and he averages a fantasy point per minute, so Stokastic is definitely projecting him for more than 36 fantasy points. He could certainly go out and stink again like he has the last two games, but this projection simply does not match Brown’s expected playing time.

Jimmy Butler More Than 27.5 Points

This number is shaded pretty aggressively across the market, but at PrizePicks it is simply more or less — no juice either side. Butler projects for nearly 32 real points today, heavily above the 27.5 mark. The Heat do not want to have to travel to Boston for a Game 5. As such, it would make sense for Butler to play huge minutes again despite Miami being up 3-0. He could even play the entire second half if the game stays competitive, as the Heat will get extra rest ahead of the Finals if they close this series out tonight.

If Butler falls shy of 27.5, it will likely be because the game is a blowout on either side. But as long as it stays close, Butler should have a big game.

These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 30 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE.

Josh Engleman
Josh is Contributor for where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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