NBA Player Props: Nikola Jokic Returns to Earth (June 9)

The NBA Finals are roaring into Game 4 tonight. The Denver Nuggets have a chance to bring the series back home with a two-game lead, but the Miami Heat won’t go down easy With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Nikola Jokic >player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA and MLB Bet Pro pull lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a reduced-price first month for only $24.95!

Stokastic’s Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Friday’s playoff action.

React App

Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Nuggets-Heat Game 4

Bruce Brown Prop O/U 1.5 Assists

The Denver Nuggets have gotten plenty of valuable minutes out of their bench this series. For example, Christian Braun looked like a superstar in Game 3. Bet Pro wants action on Bruce Brown tonight, and it’s honing in on him in the assist column.

Brown entered this series dishing out 2.2 assists per game in the postseason. He averaged 3.4 per game in the regular season. Although he now must play most of his minutes alongside Nikola Jokic, who rarely will leave the floor, this total is a profoundly low bar for him to surpass.

Bet Pro projects Brown for 2.2 assists tonight, which is right in line with what he was doing before this series began. That gives the over an expected win rate of 55%, better than the -105 (51.2%) at BetMGM. If you haven’t signed up for BetMGM, you can get one free month of Stokastic+ Platinum and $1,000 in first-bet insurance!

Best NBA Player Prop: Bruce Brown Over 1.5 Assists BetMGM

Latest NBA DFS Content

Nikola Jokic Prop O/U 31.5 Points

The Denver Nuggets do better when Nikola Jokic isn’t the one who has to carry the load scoring-wise. Jokic averaged 10.8 assists per game in wins during the regular season but only 7.6 per game in losses. Jokic’s three highest-scoring playoff games have all been losses.

Jokic is averaging 30.5 points per game in the postseason. He has recorded 32 or more in just seven of his 18 starts. He scored 32 or more in just 13 of his 69 regular-season appearances as well. Although Jokic has gone over this number twice in this series, it’s sharp to fade him for Game 4 — at least in the points column.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA and MLB player props, plenty of other lines are popping on Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get the first month for the reduced price of $24.95!

Best NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 Points -127 at Caesars

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.