DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Grizzlies Can't Slow Bam Adebayo (March 15)

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Top 5 DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today

5. Kevin Porter Jr., Houston Rockets

Porter is projected for 39.5 fantasy points at a salary of $7,200, with a goal of 43 points. He is in the optimal lineup 18% of the time. Porter is a point guard who is playing against the Lakers in a competitive game where the Rockets are 2.5-point underdogs at home. This is a pace-up spot against the Lakers, who will be without Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Porter is projected to play 33 minutes, with a potential to play more. He averages 1.2 fantasy points per minute in this spot, making him a great value. He is expected to score 19 points, six boards, six assists, and 1.5 stocks, making him a solid pick for the day. Even without multi-position eligibility, Porter is expected to perform well due to the favorable matchup.

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4. Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs

With a projected score of 38 and a salary of $6,700, Johnson has the potential to be in the optimal lineup 18% of the time. Despite the questionable or doubtful status of two-thirds of the Spurs team, if Johnson plays, he is expected to play 32 minutes and score 1.2 fantasy points per minute. He has a usage rate of 28%, 23.6 rebounds, three assists and a stock. While it is not the best matchup against Dallas, with only a 5.5-point spread, Johnson has the potential to be a solid pick and fill a small forward position that can be challenging to find quality players for.

3. Tyler Herro, Miami Heat

Projected for 38 fantasy points at a price of $6,900, Herro is in the optimal lineup 19% of the time. He plays about 35 minutes a night and averages slightly over a fantasy point per minute, particularly in a pace-up spot against the Memphis Grizzlies, who offer two possessions over Miam’s average. With no Ja Morant and no big center holding down the paint, Herro is expected to score 21 points, get 6.5 boards, 3.5 assists and a stock in this game. Additionally, he has multi-position eligibility and comes with a sub-$7,000 price tag, making him a value pick for tonight’s games.

2. Kawhi Leonard, Los Angeles Clippers

Projected for 48 fantasy points and appearing in the optimal lineup 20% of the time, Leonard is expected to play big minutes and averages 1.3 fantasy points per minute. In a pace-up, competitive matchup against the Golden State Warriors, he is projected to score 27 points on 26% usage and contribute seven rebounds, four assists and two steals. With multi-position eligibility and a favorable matchup, Leonard is a solid option for today’s slate, particularly considering his reasonable price tag of $9,000.

1. Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat

Adebayo is projected for 45 points and is in the optimal lineup 21% of the time. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a pace-up spot, with the Grizzlies being a terrible rebounding team without Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke. Adebayo is expected to play 36 minutes and produce 1.25 fantasy points per minute, resulting in 22 points and 11 boards. With his strong rebounding ability, he is expected to have a massive double-double if he performs well offensively. Additionally, he is priced under $8,000, making him a great value pick for today.

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Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].