Best MLB Bets Today (6/25): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

It’s Saturday, June 25, and Saturdays in the MLB mean that everyone plays but the games are spread out all day. There are eight afternoon games and seven evening games on today’s slate for example. Kicking things off are the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees with Cristian Javier and Gerrit Cole facing off in the Bronx. The Cubs-Cardinals games are always a fun rivalry to watch. Chris Bassit and Trevor Rogers are dueling in Miami and while Rogers has had a tough season, he may be turning a corner making this a compelling matchup. The Dodgers-Braves series will continue to be competitive, while Zach Eflin and Blake Snell pitching in San Diego will wrap up the slate for the night.

OddsShopper can help you find all of the best MLB betting picks, giving helpful tips for making your MLB bet today. Below are three strikeout props, two home run props and one total bases prop — our best ROI MLB prop bets today.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Corey Kluber O/U 5.5 Strikeouts

Corey Kluber has a 21.7% strikeout rate this season and averages 0.89 strikeouts per inning. On average, it would take between 6.2 and 7.0 innings pitched to go over this total. The Pirates have the second-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at 25.5%, tied with Atlanta. This provides Kluber a strikeout boost in this matchup. It’s reasonable to expect Kluber to strike out closer to one batter per inning as his matchup against the Pirates does not get much better. Click on these link-ads below to take advantage of free money at BetMGM – its the best way to beat the books. Simplly bet $10 on any MLB game and you’ll get a free $200 in your account.

Best MLB Prop Pick: Corey Kluber OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-115)


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Yusei Kikuchi O/U 5.5 Strikeouts

Yusei Kikuchi faces the Milwaukee Brewers today, who have an implied run total of 4.7 as of writing. Kikuchi has an encouraging 25% strikeout rate but he also has a 4.50 xFIP and is allowing 1.81 HR/9. In his last four starts, Kikuchi has not made it through the fifth inning as his innings pitched were: 4.2, 0.2, 4.0, and 4.0. He also has a high 13.9% walk rate that is an issue as well. Milwaukee has a 23.2% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. The Stokastic MLB Model gives Kikuchi a median projection of 4.6 strikeouts and a 68% chance of going under the total for an expected ROI of 27%, making it one of the more profitable prop bets on OddsShopper.

Best MLB Prop Pick: Yusei Kikuchi UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (-115)

Oscar Gonzalez To Hit A Home Run & O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Oscar Gonzalez will face Josh Winckowski tonight. In 26 games, Gonzalez has two home runs and a .155 ISO. Winckowski is allowing 0.61 HR/9 and a hard-hit rate of 44%. The Stokastic MLB Model gives Gonzalez a 19% chance of hitting a home run while the +590 odds imply a 14.5% chance. This difference gives the bet a 34% expected ROI. Gonzalez has a .311 batting average and the total bases prop is viable as well.

Best MLB Prop Pick: Oscar Gonzalez To Hit A Home Run (+590);Oscar Gonzalez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Max Fried O/U 5.5 Strikeouts

Max Fried pitches to the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight in fun matchup. While Fried does have a 23.7% strikeout rate on the season, he has been picking up more strikeouts lately. In his last three starts, he has 22 strikeouts for a 29.7% strikeout rate. The MLB Model at Stokastic has Fried projected for 6.6 strikeouts, with a 66% chance of going over the total for an expected ROI of 23%.

Best MLB Prop Pick: Max Fried OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-115)

MJ Melendez To Hit A Home Run & O/U 1.5 Total Bases

MJ Melendez is facing Jared Koenig today. Melendez has a .182 ISO and six home runs in 44 games played this season. Against left-handed pitching, he has a .293 ISO and .445 wOBA. Koenig has a 6.70 xFIP, allows 1.32 HR/9, and a hard-hit rate of 44%. Melendez has a 19% chance of hitting a home run according to the Stokastic MLB Model, while the +590 odds give this bet an expected ROI of 28%. With how well Melendez hits left-handed pitching overall and the fact that Koenig is not a good pitcher, the total base prop is another one to look at in the event Melendez hits a double instead of a home run or gets two hits.

Best MLB Prop Pick: MJ Melendez To Hit A Home Run (+590); MJ Melendez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

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