With the All-Star Game just a week away, Monday night on the diamond provides great value with a shorter slate of action. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the strategy uses a combination of recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. No more sitting through an entire game, as these tickets cash after the first six outs! Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Monday, July 11.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/11
Mets vs. Braves Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The NL East has tightened up with the recent surge from the Braves, and they host the division leader tonight. The first inning numbers don’t jump off the page for the most part, except one area that favors the home team. Atlanta scores 0.46 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home, and the Mets average 0.44 RPFI on the road. While they were held scoreless in their last first inning, the Braves are still averaging 1.00 RPFI over their last three games. The pitching matchup is pushing the odds towards a heavy favorite — with Max Fried battling Max Scherzer. The value here is attacking the latter, as the Mets still give up 0.79 RPFI while on the road — tied for second worst in baseball.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Mets vs. Braves YRFI (+114 FanDuel)
Ben Rasa goes over his best MLB bet of the day. Check out Ben’s favorite MLB picks and predictions for Monday, July 11.
Pirates vs. Marlins Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Marlins are suddenly four games out of the final NL Wild Card spot just a week before the Midsummer Classic. They host a Pirates team that’s not only bad overall, but they are also exceptionally bad in the first innings of games. They score only 0.35 RPFI on the road, similar to the Marlins’ 0.30 RPFI average at home. Neither team looks too promising from those numbers alone. OddsShopper has the Marlins as heavy -140 favorites to win the first inning, primarily because of the Pirates giving up 0.79 RPFI on the road. Mitch Keller will get the go for Pittsburgh — as he’s surrendered at least one first inning run in three of his last six road starts. The Pirates should have a couple of scoring chances early against Trevor Rogers and his 5.57 ERA.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Pirates vs. Marlins YRFI (+104 BetRivers)
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Padres vs. Rockies Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
It’s Coors Field, so the books are begging bettors to go YRFI in this game, but the numbers may not reflect it being such a solid choice. The Rockies are certainly one of baseball’s best teams in scoring RPFI, with a 0.77 home average, but they only give up 0.45 RPFI to visiting opponents — not the scary numbers normally associated with Coors. The Padres are middle of the field, allowing 0.55 RPFI to opponents while on the road. Sean Manaea will start for the Padres, as he’s given up first run action in just three of his eight road starts. Jose Urena makes just his second start of the season but looked sharp in his lone appearance against the Dodgers.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Padres vs. Rockies NRFI (+130 BetMGM)
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