There are many different ways to approach MLB betting, but since the league has evolved into mostly home runs and strikeouts, these props provide the best chance of making money. Let’s take a look at the best MLB player props, odds, betting picks and predictions for this slate of games, with a focus on Lucas Giolito’s strikeout total for Wednesday, June 16.
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MLB Betting: Player Props Odds & Best Bets | June 16
Lucas Giolito over 8.5 Strikeouts: -105 (BetMGM)
Lucas Giolito’s strikeout numbers have been out of control this year. Giolito is sporting a 33% strikeout percentage, and that should go up a bit facing a team that is top three in striking out. Giolito’s arsenal has emphasized breaking pitches this year, and this has led to 33% whiffs on his arsenal. Stats like this point to double-digit strikeouts for Giolito today.
Griffin Canning over 5.5 Strikeouts: +112 (FanDuel)
Griffin Canning takes the mound for the Angels, and while he has great strikeout potential, he also gets hit hard when contact is made. As long as he stays in the game today, he is going to pile up strikeouts. The Athletics have struck out almost 26% of the time this year, which is bottom 10 in the league. Canning is having his best strikeout year, and it is backed up by a robust whiff rate of 33.1%. That stat is one of the highest in the league and provides a great floor for strikeouts.
Ronald Acuna to Hit Home Run Prop: +230 (BetMGM)
Home run props are fun and can also be quite profitable. The weather can get really hot in Atlanta this time of year, and humidity is high today, which is always a good thing for hitting the ball out of the yard. Ronald Acuna is one of the best hitters in the league right now. There are many players with great power, but Acuna is top 10 in the league in all predictive offensive categories. Acuna’s average exit velocity is 93.8 mph, his xSLG is .605, and his launch angle is perfect for home runs at 18.7 degrees. Garret Richards also gives up plenty of power, with an xSLG against of .457 and 52.8% hard-hit rate. Putting all these factors together, a +230 line is good value on a home run player prop.
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