Today features a 14-game MLB slate, which means there is plenty of baseball betting advice to get into. Let’s get some to some +EV MLB picks that have the best Vegas odds.
Expert MLB Picks, Props Predictions & Vegas Odds
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+104, FanDuel)
It is another day where Awesemo’s OddsShopper service provides the best FanDuel odds at +104 — all other sportsbooks are at minus odds, making this bet a must on FanDuel. Jesus Luzardo has always had a great strikeout rate, and that has diminished in Oakland this year, but his move to the National League has given him a boost where he gets to face a pitcher. Luzardo has a 21% strikeout rate and is facing the most strikeout-prone team since they lost three of their best players to the trade deadline. This prop bet is the lock of the night.
Eduardo Escobar to Hit a Home Run (+425, SugarHouse)
Eduardo Escobar has been resurgent since being traded to the Brewers the deadline. He is in a great spot today with the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller, who is giving up an xSLG of almost .500, 50% hard hits and a great launch angle that amounts to almost 10% barrels. Escobar is getting the ball in the air with a 20-degree launch angle and gets to aim at the shorter side of the field in Pittsburgh tonight. This should be a great spot to pick up a home run at long odds.
Tyler Megill Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+102, FanDuel)
This bet is a little scarier, as the matchup with the Dodgers is never a fun one for pitching staffs around the league. However, Tyler Megill has a great arsenal of pitches, and 4.5 strikeouts is very doable for a guy with a 26% strikeout rate that is only allowing 37% hard hits and an xSLG of .335, especially at plus odds. The Dodgers’ last four batters average 27% strikeouts, and as long as Megill can navigate the top of this lineup, he should reach five strikeouts with relative ease.
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