After a pair of matchups to get us back into things last night, the NBA regular season returns in full force today with ten games on tap. One of the best parts about big slates of games is the chance to have NBA betting action on player props for some of the sport’s biggest stars. Tonight’s matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and New Orleans Pelicans gives bettors the chance to do just that. It should be an electric battle on the interior between Zion Williamson and Karl-Anthony Towns.
Tonight’s Timberwolves – Pelicans game is set to tip off around 8 p.m. EST and will be televised on local networks, as well as nationally on NBA League Pass. For those looking to have some action on NBA player props in this matchup, here are our projections and the best odds available for Williamson total points.
NBA Props & Betting Picks: Zion Williamson 28.5 Points
Using Awesemo’s NBA Betting Player Props tool, we can see that Williamson is projected to finish with 23.66 points. When rounded to the nearest whole number, this projection is 24 total points. The projection falls short of the NBA player props threshold of 28.5 by a whole 4.5 points. As seen in the tool, the under on this prop is expected to hit a whopping 77% of the time. The resulting expected ROI is 41%.
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Is such a discrepancy in the tool’s projections and the oddsmakers prop line for Williamson’s point total in tonight’s Timberwolves – Pelicans game justified? On the season, Williamson is averaging 25.6 points per contest. This figure is also clearly below tonight’s prop line. It’s plausible that the over/under line got a boost ahead of tonight’s NBA betting matchup thanks to the Timberwolves ranking in the bottom three in scoring defense. Even so, to reach the mark would require Williamson to outdo his season average by a hefty amount. He also came up short of tonight’s point total in the final three games heading into the NBA All-Star break.
Click on the IMAGE BELOW to start Odds Shopping!
As seen in the image above, bettors should shop the odds to ensure the best return on investment possible. For those interested in following Awesemo’s recommendation of playing under on the Williamson total points prop, the best sportsbook to bet at is PointsBet. The line of under 28.5 (-120) marks the best value in the NBA betting market on this player prop.
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