Monday’s NBA slate features seven games, and the matchup between the Spurs and Grizzlies stands out as one of the most appealing. Both of these teams have played fast this season, so there should be plenty of points scored. This matchup also features two of the best young point guards in basketball in Ja Morant and Dejounte Murray. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for Feb. 28.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays: Spurs vs. Grizzlies
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Steven Adams Under 12.5 Rebounds
Adams has been playing some of his best basketball of the season recently. He exploded for 12 points, 21 rebounds and five assists in his last outing, and he is averaging 12.4 rebounds over his past 11 games. That has caused his rebound prop to increase to 12.5 for Monday’s matchup with the Spurs, and that number seems too high. He is averaging just 9.8 rebounds per game this season, and he has hit the under on 12.5 boards in three of his past five games. OddsShopper gives the under an expected win rate of 72%, which is one of the top marks in this game.
Ziaire Williams Under 3.5 Rebounds
Williams was drafted out of Stanford with the 10th pick in the 2021 NBA Draft, and his role with the Grizzlies has increased of late. He has racked up at least 27.1 minutes in back-to-back games after averaging just 21.8 minutes this season. Even with a few additional minutes, there is no guarantee that Williams will hit the over on 3.5 rebounds. He is averaging just 3.2 rebounds per 36 minutes this season, and OddsShopper gives the under a 73% expected win rate.
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Dejounte Murray Over 7.5 Rebounds
Murray has blossomed into a full-fledged star this season. He is averaging career highs in points (20.1), assists (9.4) and rebounds (8.4) per game while also leading the league in steals per game with two. He is capable of impacting a game in multiple ways and on both ends of the court. Murray’s rebound prop is set at just 7.5 on Monday, and that is a number he can go over. He has pulled down at least eight boards in 32 of 53 games this season, and he had 10 boards and a triple-double in his only other meeting with the Grizzlies this season. The Grizzlies have been the best rebounding team in basketball this season – they rank first in team rebound rate – but this number is too low given Murray’s prowess on the glass.
Jakob Poeltl Over 2.5 Assists
This is the best prop of this game. Poeltl has been operating much more as a distributor of late, racking up at least five assists in each of his past two games, and he has had at least three dimes in eight of his past 11. Poeltl is averaging 3.6 assists per game over that time frame. There also figures to be plenty of scoring in this matchup. The total on this game is set at a whopping 237.5 points, and both of these teams rank in the top eight in pace. As long as this game stays competitive, Poeltl has a good chance at three assists.
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