Tuesday’s NBA slate features six games to choose from, with Mavericks – Lakers serving as the nightcap. This matchup features two teams trending in opposite directions. The Mavs have won seven of their last nine games, while the Lakers have dropped nine of their past 12. Unsurprisingly, the Mavericks will head to Los Angeles as road favorites, which would have been unfathomable at the start of the year. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 1.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays: Mavericks vs. Lakers
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Russell Westbrook Over 6.5 Rebounds and Over 5.5 Assists
It has been a brutal year for Westbrook. The Lakers have struggled to a 27-33 record, and Westbrook has drawn the majority of the blame. They are much closer to falling out of the play-in tournament than moving into a guaranteed playoff spot, despite the fact that they entered the year as the favorites to win the Western Conference. They are also going to have to finish much of the regular season with Anthony Davis sidelined.
While that is not good for the Lakers as a team, it should help Westbrook from a statistical standpoint. He is averaging 8.6 rebounds and 6.8 assists per 36 minutes in games without Davis this season. He has struggled to hit those thresholds recently – especially in terms of assists – but he is a clear candidate for some positive regression. OddsShopper gives both overs an expected win rate of at least 59%.
Fellow NBA betting expert Eytan Shander has a full game preview and even more NBA player prop bets for the Mavericks – Lakers matchup tonight.
LeBron James Over 2.5 3-Pointers
The King is not known for his work behind the arc, but he has been more willing to hoist up 3-pointers this season. He is averaging a career-high 7.8 3-point attempts per game, and he is making 34.9% of them. He has knocked down just three total 3-pointers over his previous two contests, but he hit the over on 2.5 in each of his previous four games. The Mavericks do excel at limiting 3-pointers, but this prop is at better than even money.
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Luka Doncic Under 9.5 Assists
Doncic has been on an absolute tear recently. He returned to the lineup following a 10-game absence on January 2, and he is averaging 29.2 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 9.2 assists over 25 games since then. He is averaging a career-best 8.9 assists per game this season.
Doncic and the Mavs figure to do some damage against the Lakers, but this line still seems a touch high. Despite his recent production, Doncic has still hit the under on 9.5 assists in 25 of 46 games. He also has to share the ball with Spencer Dinwiddie, who was acquired from the Wizards before the trade deadline. Doncic has played just 71 minutes next to Dinwiddie so far, but his assist rate has dropped by -8.8% in that situation.
OddsShopper gives the under on 9.5 assists an expected win rate of greater than 70%, resulting in an expected return on investment of +30%.
Dwight Powell Over 7.5 Points
With Kristaps Porzingis now out of the picture in Dallas, Powell has assumed a larger role for the Mavericks recently. He was limited to just 17.8 minutes, but he picked up four fouls in a tough matchup against the Warriors. Prior to that contest, he had averaging 26.8 minutes and 10.9 points in his previous eight games.
He will face a much easier task against the Lakers, who have been a middle-of-the-pack team defensively. They have also played at the fifth-fastest pace this season, giving the Mavs a few more scoring opportunities than usual.
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