Five games fill up the NHL schedule on this Friday night, which is more than is typical, but thanks to make-up games there is a consistent slate games every day of the week. The other consistent with tonight’s schedule is large favorites filling it up, as the Avalanche, Penguins and Bruins all will garner plenty of the NHL betting market’s attention. There is plenty to shop through on OddsShopper, so let’s dig in.
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Wild vs. Rangers Under 6 (New York Sportsbook Offers)
No game total on the slate has a higher expected NHL betting win rate than the Wild and Rangers playing in Madison Square. Catching the Rangers on the second half of a back-to-back is often very beneficial to the fresher team’s offensive output, but standing in their way is Igor Shesterkin. The Rangers goaltender has been nothing but elite in 2021-22, with a 93.7 save percentage and goals allowed just over two. Of all goalies with at least 10 starts only one, Ville Husso (14 starts) can compare in both categories. Along with solid goaltending on each team (Cam Talbot 91% save percentage), they have also done well overall limiting opponents to just 2.95 and 2.59 goals, respectively, for Minnesota and New York.
The Wild’s top line has been amongst the elite all year in terms of production with 119 points between them and should take advantage of the Rangers struggles at even strength. That said, in terms of expected goals against per 60, these teams combined allow 4.92 goals overall at five-on-five, with both teams killing penalties over 80%of the time — the Rangers are fifth at 83.6.
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Robby Fabbri Over 2.5 Shots on Goal vs. Penguins (New York Sportsbook Offers)
Robby Fabbri carries phenomenal value in comparison to others at the same NHL betting line with the same hold percentage of 4.8%. The offensive-minded winger has the exact same value as Rangers center Ryan Strome, who on the year has 14 fewer shots and is also playing on the second night of a back-to-back, facing the puck-dominant Wild, while Fabbri and the Red Wings head into Pittsburgh, catching the Penguins on the second night of their back-to-back.
The expected win rate for this Fabbri is slightly lower than Strome’s per the projected shot totals, but Strome is the only bet with this return coming in higher. With the freshest legs of the team’s mentioned above, Fabbri and the Wings output should see a boost overall.
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